The Predictability Trap

5 months ago
32

Fundamental analysis, technical analysis, intuition, advice from experts, advisors, indications of Artificial (non) Intelligence, visions of fortune tellers and fortune tellers, fortune telling from a crystal ball, tea leaves, dice, cards - all of this is combined by a value that is exactly: ZERO, NULL, NOTHING, NADA, NOTHING. The belief that you can predict the future, rates, etc. is a trap of the human mind, the way it functions.
In reality, the future is completely unpredictable, completely random. No knowledge, intuition, analyses, fortune telling, visions, hocus pocus, etc. are able to determine it with a probability greater than 50% that it will be this way and not otherwise.
It is worth keeping this in mind when deciding to invest your money.

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