❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎞 🎣 RYBAR HIGHLIGHTS OF THE RUSSIAN MILITARY OPERATION IN UKRAINE ON Mar.23B, 2025

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📝Orihiv Axis: Battles near Robotyne and New Prospects — Rybar's Analysis📝

The spring season has seen the commencement of a new Russian offensive in the Zaporizhzhia direction, with hostilities now underway west of Orikhiv. This shift in the military landscape has coincided with a notable weakening of Ukrainian defenses, leading to a strategic withdrawal by the AFU towards the north under the mounting pressure from the Russian forces.This development follows a period of several months characterized by a relative "calm" subsequent to Ukraine's unsuccessful offensive, during which ongoing battles for control of specific positions resulted in minimal progress, as evidenced by the absence of detailed reports.

The following timeline provides a comprehensive overview of the combat operations in the area:

The AFU's summer 2023 counteroffensive near Robotyne aimed not only to break through Russian defenses but also to reach Tokmak and push further toward the Sea of Azov.

The enemy initiated multiple assaults, which were successfully repelled by the Russian forces at the first line of defense. The most intense combat operations occurred in the vicinity of Robotyne.

Following the failure of the Ukrainian offensive, the frontline stabilized, and the AFU's hold gradually weakened, a development that the Russian command capitalized on.

In early 2024, Russian forces initiated a localized offensive to retake lost positions, and by February 22nd, Russian assault units, supported by air power, had expelled the enemy from half of Robotyne.

Over the subsequent months, intense battles persisted, and the effective Russian tactics ultimately compelled the enemy to withdraw. Robotyne, which had been celebrated by Ukrainian media as a significant success in 2023, was subsequently retaken by Russian forces.

Subsequently, the primary focus of hostilities shifted to the right flank of the Robotyne sector, with Russian forces initiating offensives towards Mala Tokmachka, leveraging Novopokrovka as a strategic staging point.

The potential for a substantial Russian advance in this sector is evident, with Mala Tokmachka and Novodanylivka serving as potential vectors.

However, recent Russian successes near Stepove and Shcherbaky have the potential to significantly alter the current state of affairs.

A potential advance west of Orikhiv could not only lead to the capture of Zaporizhzhia but also compel the enemy to redeploy units from other regions, thereby weakening positions in Robotyne or Mala Tokmachka.A breakthrough by Russian airborne troops in Stepove and Shcherbaky, followed by a northward advance, could be the first step in the liberation of Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

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