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Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
Mar 13, 2025
Putin Signals NYET to CeaseFire
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Akhr37Q7Zd4
The presentation discusses ongoing negotiations between Russia and the U.S. regarding a potential 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine. Former President Trump stated that his team is in talks with Russian officials, including Putin, who has "conceptually agreed" to the ceasefire but with unspecified "nuances."

Russia has historically opposed a ceasefire without addressing what it sees as the root causes of the war, such as NATO expansion into Ukraine and Ukraine's military capabilities. Putin, in a press conference with Belarusian President Lukashenko, indicated that any ceasefire must lead to a long-term resolution, not just a temporary halt in fighting.

Russia has been making significant military advances, particularly in the KSK region, and does not appear eager to pause hostilities. Putin was seen in military fatigues for the first time, reinforcing his commitment to ongoing operations. The Russian perspective is that they are in a position of strength and will only agree to terms that align with their strategic goals, including the demilitarization and "denazification" of Ukraine.

A major concern for Russia is ensuring Ukraine does not use a ceasefire to regroup and rearm. Putin also raised the issue of how the ceasefire would be monitored and enforced, expressing distrust toward Western commitments. Additionally, Russia claims Ukrainian forces have committed war crimes in the KSK region, which they cite as justification for treating captured Ukrainian fighters as terrorists rather than prisoners of war.

There is speculation that the U.S. could offer economic incentives, such as lifting sanctions or releasing frozen Russian assets, to persuade Russia to agree to a ceasefire. The speaker remains hopeful that diplomatic efforts can lead to an end to the conflict but acknowledges the significant challenges in bridging the deep divides between both sides.

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