First quarter on track for negative GDP growth, Atlanta Fed indicator says

Early 2025 economic data signals negative growth, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker predicting a 1.5% contraction for Q1, down from a previous 2.3% growth estimate.

Lower consumer spending, weak exports, and declining consumer confidence contributed to the downgrade.

Inflation cooled slightly, but jobless claims rose, and bond market signals hint at a possible recession, CNBC has reported.

Stock markets remain volatile, and traders now expect multiple Fed rate cuts, with an 80% chance of a June reduction.

read more: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/28/the-first-quarter-is-on-track-for-negative-gdp-growth-atlanta-fed-indicator-says-.html

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