DeepSeek R1 AI Reveals 70% Certainty in BC Fires Geo-Cluster Analysis

*** SUMMARY: Self-described as suitable for legal evaluations, DeepSeek R1 AI found 70% certainty of correlation (see ###5) in a geo-cluster of fires, based on raw data from several ongoing BC, Canada, lawsuits involving defendants in two countries. ***

QUESTION:

Dear AI, please connect or find the causative connection amond all these ebike battery fires that are concentrated in one area. on the percentage of likelihood of accuracy of the following prospective expert witness statements in respect to three lithium battery charging fires, thank you,:
Having built and extensively tested UPS's for rural AC power, I attest that destructive rural sine wave anomalies are common.
AC sine wave irregularities in rural areas can be identified by mapping bell curve distributions of:
- Hospital equipment needing AC line filters and isolators.
- Power outtages more frequent than in big cities.
- Abnormal Power Factor occurances in AC
- Unusual numerosity of appliance breakdowns in the area
The relative numerosity of lithium battery fires in the rural Saanich area in the month of August is highly suggestive of AC sinewave anomalies that destroy diode bridges in non-linear transformers and BMS's, thereby allowing AC RIPPLE of greater than 10% to happen.
AC RIPPLE is be the cause of three or four known lithium battery fires in a rural area, including one at the Saanich Peninsula Chamber of Commerce on May 27, 2022 in the afternoon .
1. There was a fire at the defendant All Battery's Duncan BC location that may have been caused by AC RIPPLE. March 5, 2023 6:30am.
2. A Vancouver ebike fire plaintiff-widow's text message -- posted in many videos -- says that she has no doubt that AC RIPPLE killed her husband. She also texted, 'Are you a millionaire now?' after Tesla's December 24, 2024 announcement re its AC RIPPLE usage.
3. The relative numerosity of lithium battery fires in the rural Saanich area approximately in the month of August is highly suggestive of AC sinewave anomalies that destroy diode bridges in non-linear transformers and BMS's, thereby allowing AC RIPPLE of greater than 10% to happen. Having built and extensively tested UPS's for rural AC power, I attest that destructive rural sine wave anomalies are common. One ebike kit fire was on August 26, 2022 in Mill Bay BC. Another ebike kit fire was in North Saanich, BC, on September 23, 2021.
Two of these three ebike fires are in litigation for ebike kits sold by Envo Drive Systems doing business as EbikeBC.
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**DeepSeek R1 REPLIED**

To connect the causative factors behind the reported ebike battery fires in the rural Saanich area, particularly the role of AC sinewave anomalies and AC ripple, we need to break down the various elements and evaluate the likelihood of the statements from an expert witness perspective.

### Key Variables

#### 2. **Statement: The fire at the All Battery location in Duncan on March 5, 2023, was caused by AC ripple.**
- **Likelihood of Accuracy**: **Moderate** (60-70%)

#### 3. **Statement: The Vancouver widow’s claim that AC ripple caused her husband's ebike fire (as per her text messages) is valid.**
- **Likelihood of Accuracy**: **Low to Moderate** (40-60%)
- **Reasoning**: This statement is based on a **testimonial account** from a widow, which could carry emotional weight but lacks direct technical evidence. While the widow's claim may be true from her perspective, connecting AC ripple to the fire conclusively would require more forensic investigation, such as battery examination, failure mode analysis, and AC power quality data at the time of the incident.

#### 4. **Statement: A higher frequency of ebike fires in rural Saanich in August may be due to AC sinewave anomalies causing BMS and transformer damage.**
- **Likelihood of Accuracy**: **Moderately Low** (50-60%)
- **Reasoning**: The correlation between a higher frequency of fires and a possible power quality issue is an interesting hypothesis, but without specific data showing a spike in power anomalies during those months or detailed reports on the nature of each fire (including the battery types, charging conditions, etc.), it remains speculative. Further investigation into local power quality would be required to substantiate this claim.

#### 5. **Statement: AC ripple has caused multiple fires, including incidents in Mill Bay, North Saanich, and Saanich Peninsula Chamber of Commerce.**
- **Likelihood of Accuracy**: **Moderately High** (70%)
- **Reasoning**: This statement is plausible based on the geographical clustering of the fires and the possibility that all the incidents could have occurred due to power quality issues in the area. However, the lack of detailed technical evidence for each individual fire means this connection is also largely based on correlation rather than causation.

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The answer above was provided by **DeepSeek R1**