"Why Biden Will Go Down In History As The Worst President In The History of America"

America’s generally-accepted worst president used to be James Buchanan.

In the wake of this month’s stunning Democratic electoral defeat, it appears Joe Biden may very well soon find himself a new entry to that bottom tier of American history—that is, *if* history remembers him at all.

Tragedy has always defined the public pathos of Joe Biden’s political career. And he will be a uniquely tragic figure now in American presidential history, for reasons that will be seen as entirely within his own control.

Biden’s presidential legacy will be defined historically by creating the circumstances that allowed Donald Trump to regain the White House, allowing a man to return to the presidency despite during his time out of office having been found liable of sexual assault, convicted of 34 felonies, and charged in three more serious state and federal criminal cases, including one that involved an attempted coup.

Biden’s decision to not run for re-election earlier, despite his visible public decline, will surely rank as one of the most far-reaching in American politics, a turning point that altered the path of the country, perhaps for generations.

Biden, of course, does not own Trump’s return alone — plenty of weak-kneed Republicans, including most culpably Kevin McCarthy and Mitch McConnell, facilitated his return to party leadership after January 6th — and much of the national media, despite nearly a decade of covering the same mendacity, lies, and grifting, never figured out how to respond to Trump.

But Biden’s decision was the main BFD, as he would say. I believe that when the dust settles on this election, this presidential race will be remembered differently from Hillary Clinton’s race in 2016, which is seen by pundits as a winnable race that she lost. This election in 2024 will be remembered as an unwinnable race for the Democrats.

Yes, Vice President Harris paid the price for two decades of the Democratic Party’s failed approach to a media revolution, culture war, and a foreign-adversary and US oligarch-enabled information war, and, yes, she ran in a year where, according to the Financial Times, “every governing party facing election in a developed country this year lost vote share, the first time this has ever happened."

Nothing in this election looms larger now than Biden’s decision last year to stick it out in the White House as an unprecedented octogenarian.

The second-guessing about how and when and why Biden dropped out of the 2024 race will unfold for decades, and the what-ifs about what more Biden could have done to stop Trump — including the apparent near year-long delay by attorney general Merrick Garland to even start an investigation into Trump’s actions around January 6th — will really never be conclusively answered. But it now appears that Biden’s historical legacy may most closely resemble that of James Buchanan himself—a man who unsuccessfully navigated the changing national tides and set the country up for a coming political earthquake and national cataclysm.

While he carefully never actually gave a one-term pledge, Joe Biden originally seemed to promise he would be a transitional figure. Campaigning in March 2020, he said, “Look, I view myself as a bridge, not as anything else. There’s an entire generation of leaders you saw stand behind me. They are the future of this country.”

In office, though, he decided to run again, a decision that now appears to threaten nearly everything he accomplished both during his four years as president and even his eight as vice president. His legacy as a president seems almost certain to start being rewound and undone by the Trump administration immediately on January 20th. Depending on its ultimate success of Trump’s retribution-heavy policy agenda — the list outlines a remake of the federal government equaled perhaps only by FDR’s New Deal — it’s possible that within a few short years there are almost no signs Biden’s administration existed at all.

Few men have ever entered the White House wanting to be a one-term president — there’s one notable exception, James K. Polk, a chief executive who accomplished what he promised and then went home, as promised, and today sits solidly in the middle of the pack historically — but the reality is that most presidents (and especially most of the one-termers) end up more footnotes than chapters in the history books: Just 21 of the nation’s 45 presidents have served more than a four-year term, either winning a full second-term or being elected in their own right after first assuming the office as vice president.

The path to having a lasting impact in a single term of just 1,461 days has always been a hard one and history rarely is kind to them. (Again, there’s a notable recent exception: While Jimmy Carter was originally seen as a weak president, history has looked at him more kindly and recent biographies like Jonathan Alter’s His Very Best argue that on issues like defense he was more consequential than remembered and Carter, too, sits in the middle of the presidential pack according to historian rankings.)

It's taken forty years of the arc of history to reevaluate Carter’s presidency in a more friendly light, but it’s hard to imagine a future, regardless of the distance from today, where Biden’s gamble last year that he was in good enough shape to run for re-election — his hubris that because he was the only Democrat who had beat Donald Trump he remained the only one who could — doesn’t overshadow every other decision of his presidency.

That is, if America continues to be a place where history is allowed to be openly written, debated, and studied at all, which at this moment feels a more open and pregnant question than I’d ever imagined it would be in my lifetime….
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