Even Trump can't lose the war in Ukraine, Putin's victory will be a serious blow to US

Those around newly elected US President Donald Trump should explain to him a simple truth: as the new leader of the United States, he is obliged to immediately present a plan to end the war in Ukraine, writes Foreign Policy.

The publication writes that Trump's plan should not include concessions on territories that Russia seized as a result of the war. It is also undesirable to rely on the promises of Russian ruler Vladimir Putin, who often goes back on his words.

Trump has previously suggested that Ukraine should have made concessions to Russia before the war began, arguing that even a "worse deal would have been better than what we have now." He has also accused Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky of making a "nasty little slander" against him.

Michael Bociurkiw, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council, notes: "Russia took advantage of the political uncertainty in the US during the elections. Autocratic leaders like Putin take advantage of the West's weakness and indecisiveness, and the West has so far prevented Ukraine from striking at positions in Russia itself, giving Moscow a strategic advantage."

Western allies, particularly the United States, have placed limits on their support for Ukraine, holding back certain weapons and resources. Reasons range from fatigue to a belief that the conflict will not spill over Ukraine's borders.

There is a fear among experts that any territorial concessions to Ukraine will only escalate Putin’s aggression, bringing Russia closer to NATO’s borders and creating new threats to Europe. As Ruth Deermond, a professor at King’s College London, points out, a peace deal that leaves the Russian-occupied territories in Moscow’s hands would allow Russia to strengthen its position and increase its military presence in Belarus, posing a potential threat to NATO’s Baltic states. A stronger Russia could step up cyberattacks and interference in the internal affairs of European states and the United States.
In an article for the Atlantic Council, Peter Dickinson wrote that countries that Russia considers "historically part of itself," such as Poland, the Baltic states, and others, could become potential targets for Kremlin aggression.

Europe fears that a Russian victory will create even more challenges to the stability of the region. It is important to explain this to Trump so that he understands the importance of supporting Ukraine for US security. Despite the distance, borders are no longer a protection against global threats.

While the conflict in Ukraine may seem far away to the American public, it has real implications for the security of the United States.

It is not yet clear how seriously Trump takes the Ukraine issue or whether he fully understands the threats. He has repeatedly called Putin a "genius" in the past, while also saying he has a "good relationship" with both Putin and Zelensky.

As the publication notes, how much Trump understands what is at stake in Ukraine and how willing he is to support US allies remains questionable. So his team should convey the message to him: The United States needs a Ukrainian victory to maintain its own security and influence on the world stage.
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