Nate Silver: Pollsters Are 'Putting Their Finger On The Scale' To Make It Appear The Race Is Close

Posted • November 1, 2024: Nate Silver is a statistical expert and a professional poker player. His political prognostications are less than stellar, however, and should be viewed skeptically. Silver gives Donald Trump a 55% chance of winning the election. He claims that's his "gut feeling" and not based on any statistical evidence. And he says that there's no statistical evidence that Trump has picked up any momentum and any polling results that say so are "questionable." - "Pollsters were 'herding' their numbers, or using past results to affect current ones, to keep Vice President Harris and former President Trump to within a point or two of each other each time" reports the New York Post. “I kind of trust pollsters less,” Silver said on his podcast, name-checking Emerson College. “They all, every time a pollster [says] ‘Oh, every state is just plus-one, every single state’s a tie,’ No! You’re f***king herding! You’re cheating! You’re cheating!” He fumed.

Silver makes an interesting point. The 800 likely voter sample size of respondents is more than adequate. So why are the numbers in most of the seven battleground states within one or two points? “Your numbers aren’t all going to come out at exactly one-point leads when you’re sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys,” Silver vented. “You are lying! You’re putting your f***king finger on the scale!'” (…)

• More at: PJ Media - Nate Silver Claims Pollsters Are 'Putting Their Finger on the Scale' to Make It Appear the Race Is Close
https://pjmedia.com/rick-moran/2024/11/01/nate-silver-claims-pollsters-are-putting-their-finger-on-the-scale-make-it-appera-the-race-is-close-n4933858
New York Post: Election guru Nate Silver accuses pollsters of putting ‘finger on the scale,’ lying to keep presidential race close
https://nypost.com/2024/11/01/us-news/election-guru-nate-silver-accuses-pollsters-of-putting-finger-on-the-scale-lying-to-keep-presidential-race-close/
CNBC: Nate Silver: Don’t trust the Trump swing in 2024 presidential election polls, betting markets data
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/30/nate-silver-dont-trust-trump-swing-in-polling-prediction-markets.html
Townhall: If This NYT Polling Result Is Even Close to Accurate, She's in Big Trouble
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2024/11/01/if-this-nyt-polling-result-is-even-close-to-accurate-shes-in-big-trouble-n2647067
Rumble: Nate Silver Calls Out Polls For 'Cheating,' Putting 'Fingers On Scale,' Drops His Latest Forecast
https://rumble.com/v5lbyps-nate-silver-calls-out-polls-for-cheating-putting-fingers-on-scale-drops-his.html