First NYT/Siena, Now Even More Polling That's Going To Make The Harris Team Lose Their Minds

Posted • September 23, 2024: We now have a good idea why Vice President Kamala Harris is looking for another presidential debate. I mentioned the internal polling in an earlier post. Now, there's new polling out that shows why they're starting to freak out. My colleague Bonchie wrote about the NYT/Siena poll earlier. It has Trump up by 5 points in Arizona, 4 in Georgia, and 2 in North Carolina.

InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022: 🇺🇲 2024 GE: NYT/Siena Research

ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 50% (+5)
🟦 Harris: 45%

Last poll (8/15) - 🔵 Harris +5

NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 49% (+2)
🟦 Harris: 47%

Last poll - 🔵 Harris +2

GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 49% (+4)
🟦 Harris: 45%

Last poll - 🔴 Trump +4

#1 (3.0/3.0) | Sept. 17-21 | 2,670 LV https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GYKEOIKWYAAWRnc?format=jpg&name=medium -- That's a 10-point swing to Trump in Arizona from August. They had Harris up in North Carolina, which was probably wrong, in August. This number is likely much more accurate there. And Trump's holding a similar lead, up 4 points in Georgia. That's bad enough for Harris. But what about the other battleground states? Now, there's also the Emerson College poll that's likely to make the Harris team tear their hair out. Emerson has Trump up in Georgia 50 to 47 percent, Arizona 49 to 48 percent, Wisconsin 49 to 48 percent, and Pennsylvania 48 to 47 percent. Nevada is tied at 48 percent. Harris is ahead 49 to 48 percent in North Carolina and 49 to 47 percent in Michigan.

Election Wizard @ElectionWiz: NEW: Emerson College/The Hill poll finds Trump with edge in most swing states, but race remains tight…

GA:
🟥 Trump 50
🟦 Harris 47

AZ:
🟥 Trump 49
🟦 Harris 48

WI:
🟥 Trump 49
🟦 Harris 48

PA:
🟥 Trump 48
🟦 Harris 47

NV:
🟥 Trump 48
🟦 Harris 48

NC
🟥 Trump 48
🟦 Harris 49

MI
🟥 Trump 47
🟦 Harris 49

9/15-9/18 -- I'm inclined to think Trump is in a better position in North Carolina than Wisconsin, so I'm not sure I would agree with them there, but either way, if that holds, Trump wins, even if Harris ultimately won Nevada, which is tied in that poll. But as we can see from the Teamsters' vote, there's likely a lot of support for Trump in the Rust Belt. That's not all on the positive side. I wrote about how Virginia is also surprisingly neck and neck, which they probably didn't anticipate, and that's in multiple polls, with Gov. Glenn Youngkin saying it's definitely in play. Then there's this news about Arizona Latinos from that NYT/Siena poll that even CNN noted and should be a big warning sign to the Kamala campaign: Trump is now up 5 points there, and one would have to think that Latino swing plays a big part in that and that the border is also factoring in there. 🚨 Kamala drops ELEVEN points with Arizona Latino voters since August!

Not only did Kamala lose 11 points; Trump gained 4 points. Harris has been a failure at protecting the border. No wonder they want another debate.

RedState: First NYT/Siena, Now Even More Polling That's Going to Make the Harris Team Lose Their Minds
https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2024/09/23/more-polling-shift-back-to-trump-n2179663
Twitchy: YUGE Swing in THIS Particular Leftist Poll Should Make Every Single Kamala Harris Supporter VERY Nervous
https://twitchy.com/samj/2024/09/23/nyt-poll-massive-swing-n2401300
New York Times: Trump Shows Signs of Strength in Sun Belt Battlegrounds, Polls Find
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/23/us/politics/times-siena-polls-arizona-georgia-north-carolina.html