Class 21: Probability of Hypotheses (Bayes)

Lesson 21: Probability of Hypotheses (Bayes)

Hypotheses are only propositions, and all probabilility is that of propositions with respect to information assumed true. That's it, and noting more.

HOMEWORK: In the homework, assume in the same box you observed D = 10 good and 3 bad widgets. What is Pr(A|DX)?

All questions will be answered in the following Monday's lecture.

Written lecture:
https://www.wmbriggs.com/post/52962/
https://wmbriggs.substack.com/p/148114398

Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf

Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science