[2024-08-18] How Trump can still beat Kamala | David Woo

David Woo Unbound

How Trump can still beat Kamala | David Woo

Sunday, August 18, 2024

In the upcoming US presidential election 2024, there has been a significant shift in the political landscape as Kamala Harris has surged in the polls, overtaking Donald Trump in several key battleground states. The InsiderAdvantage poll shows that Harris is now ahead of Trump in states like Michigan, where her support has increased rapidly. Harris’ rise has been particularly notable in the Wisconsin election polls, where her popularity continues to grow. She has also benefited from an increase in favorability among male voters, many of whom previously were undecided or part of the double haters 2024 group, who dislike both main candidates.
A crucial aspect of Harris' campaign is her running mate, Tim Waltz, who is seen as a more favorable choice compared to Trump’s VP pick, JD Vance. Voters have a more negative view of Vance, with many feeling that his ideological alignment with Trump could hinder Trump's chances. Pennsylvania is seen as one of the most important battlegrounds, with abortion rights in Pennsylvania being a critical issue. Harris cannot rely solely on her position on abortion to win over voters in Pennsylvania a crucial state. Trump’s improved standing among female voters in Pennsylvania suggests that his campaign is far from over.

Economic factors are playing a significant role in shaping voter sentiment in 2024. The Federal Reserve rate cut election could affect public opinion, as a potential interest rate cut might reduce the urgency for change and benefit Harris. Additionally, the retail sales boost election reflects a stronger-than-expected economy, which could support Harris, as economic optimism tends to favor the incumbent party. However, a dip in the stock market would likely swing voters back toward Trump, highlighting the importance of the stock market's influence 2024 election.

Harris’ rise is also influenced by key geopolitical factors, particularly in relation to the Iran and US election context. The Biden-Harris administration has sought to manage tensions with Iran and other foreign policy concerns like Ukraine, potentially benefiting Harris, as Trump’s stance on these issues has alienated some voters. Furthermore, Arizona's immigration issues continue to play a major role in the campaign. Trump’s immigration stance in 2024 resonates with voters in Arizona, where immigration remains a major concern, making it a competitive state for both candidates.

In terms of policy, Harris has outlined her Harris economic platform, focusing on continuity from the Biden administration. She has also proposed a Harris immigration policy that contrasts sharply with Trump’s hardline approach. Trump's focus on Trump's economic policies in 2024 aims to highlight the perceived weaknesses in the current administration’s handling of inflation and government spending. Harris, on the other hand, may benefit from the perception that the economy is stabilizing, aided by government spending and the Fed’s actions. Polls such as the Trafalgar poll Trump Harris reflect the competitiveness of the race, with Trump narrowing the gap in states like Arizona. In summary, while Harris has momentum, Trump’s core appeal as a candidate for change still resonates with a significant portion of the electorate, especially in battleground states like Pennsylvania and Arizona. As economic and geopolitical factors continue to evolve, the race remains tightly contested. David Woo, a former top-ranked Wall Street global macro strategist, tells it as it is. You may not agree with everything he says but he will make you reassess everything you thought you knew.

#2024Election, #HarrisVsTrump, #BattlegroundStates2024

Chapters:
0:00 Intro
0:42 Who’s It Gonna Be?
1:49 Behind the Numbers
5:19 What Do Voters Want?
7:07 So How Bad Do You Feel?
8:24 My Predictions

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-yTFOeepJ24

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