Will Russia run out of military equipment in 2025

Estonian intelligence believes that Russia will continue to receive military equipment necessary to continue its armed aggression against Ukraine.

This was stated by Colonel Ants Kiviselg, Head of the Military Intelligence Centre of the Estonian Defence Forces, ERR reports.

According to him, some analysts say that Russia is running out of military equipment, so next year the situation at the front will begin to change in Ukraine's favour. Kiviselg is not so optimistic.

"Yes, unfortunately, I cannot confirm that the Russian Federation will definitely run out of military equipment in 2025, because they also have some partners or allies who will still allocate or send them funds to wage war," he said.

Kiviselg noted that June was extremely difficult for Russia, when the occupying Russian army was losing between 1,000 and 1,800 people a day. With such losses, it is relatively difficult to maintain a high rate of advance.

"But at the same time, the population in Russia is still so large that there is no tendency to see that this will lead to big changes at the front," the colonel concluded.

But according to other sources, Russia is running low on both weapons and workers, key resources it needs to sustain its war in Ukraine after launching a full-scale invasion two and a half years ago.

The depleting weaponry means that Moscow may have to rein in its offensive and adopt a more defensive strategy. At home, meanwhile, a labor shortage is driving economic pressures, as conscription-age men are sent to the war’s front lines.

Russian defense contractors are struggling to source workers as working-age men are conscripted to the military, The Bell reported. With no one to fill key roles, there are about 160,000 available positions at defense firms. “The shortfall is not only due to increased demand, but also dwindling supply,” The Bell noted. If trends continue, Russia will be short of about 2.4 million workers by the start of the next decade. The Kremlin now faces a difficult choice: “There are social and political risks in allowing more migrants into the country. And limiting military recruitment is hardly possible when there’s a war on,” The Bell wrote.

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