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Big Trouble For Biden As New York Trump Verdict Looms
Could a New York City jury issuing a guilty verdict help President Donald Trump’s popularity? Some in the media (e.g., Fox News’ Steve Doocy interview with former U.S. Representative Trey Gowdy) are theorizing that Trump’s poll numbers could soar even more regardless of the NYC jury’s decision – making the verdict a lose-lose for President Biden.
Jury deliberation in Trump’s New York City case began this morning, and we could see a verdict as soon as today. If the jury comes back that quickly, it’s usually not good for the defendant. If it takes longer, running through the weekend, that’s often a good sign for the defendant. If the jury were to find President Trump guilty, possible outcomes could include prison time, significant fines, house arrest, probation, or a mix of these.
Judge Juan Merchan instructed the jury not to take anything back for deliberation except their own personal notes. And Merchan explained that if the jury finds Trump guilty of a felony, the decision must be unanimous. However, the jury does not have to be unanimous in its reasons for determining said felony.
Many are wondering what it means for the future if President Trump gets convicted. Where would an appeal come into play? This depends on the timeline for sentencing, which could be complicated. Trump is running for office, and he has lifetime Secret Service protection, which could intervene to stop him from going to prison. If the sentencing process is drawn out, the appeal could take place prior to sentencing. But even if Trump appeals, he still faces New York judges.
The outcome of this case will give us a sense of how other Trump cases will move forward (e.g., the Georgia election interference case, the Florida classified documents case, and Jack Smith’s Jan. 6th case). This process could also encourage political leaders to seek political prosecution of their opponents twisting everything into a crime.
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