Why Israel is in deep trouble: John Mearsheimer with Tom Switzer | PART 1

On September 29, 2023, US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan remarked that "The Middle East region is quieter today than it has been in two decades." However, the tranquility was disrupted on October 7 when Hamas launched an attack on Israel, leading to an Israeli military response in Gaza aimed at dismantling Hamas.

More than six months into the conflict, there is a growing perception that Israel is struggling in its Gaza campaign. Concurrently, Israel is contending with Hezbollah along its northern frontier. This period has also seen strained relations between Jerusalem and Washington, further complicated by a ruling from the International Court of Justice suggesting that Israel might be committing acts that could be classified as genocide in Gaza.

The situation holds a significant risk of regional escalation, particularly evident in the hostilities between Israel and Iran. Moreover, there is concern that ongoing conflicts, including US engagements with the Houthis, could inadvertently lead to a broader war with Iran—a scenario neither nation desires.

Amid these unfolding events, the implications for global politics are profound. Questions loom large about the potential long-term effects of these conflicts: Who will emerge weakened, and who will gain strength? Furthermore, what are the broader implications for U.S. foreign policy, especially concerning its positions in Ukraine and East Asia?

Join us for the next session of our Greater Middle East Debate Series, where Bret Stephens will present a contrasting view on the Israel-Palestinian conflict. The debates are scheduled for June 18 in Sydney and June 20 in Melbourne. Secure your tickets at CIS Event Page.

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