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Putin needs refineries in Belarus' Navapolatsk and Mazyr to prevent possible Ukrainian drone attacks
A tenth of fuel production in the Russian Federation has been paralyzed as a result of Ukrainian attacks. This is a serious blow to the Russian economy. The Charter97 website spoke about this with Ukrainian military-political observer of the Information Resistance group Oleksandr Kovalenko.
“Firstly, the shocks affected the export of Russian petroleum products, which is the main item in filling the Russian budget.
Secondly, internal economic destabilization occurred, which is already manifesting itself very eloquently. It affected domestic civilian and commercial consumers: gasoline prices are rising, queues are lining up for it in a number of settlements, and in some places there is a shortage”, Kovalenko added.
“However, the Russian authorities do not pay much attention to civilians, but if the commercial component begins to suffer, then this, again, is an impact on the budget that finances the war against Ukraine.
Thirdly, a blow was also struck to the supply of fuel and lubricants to the Russian occupation forces. Here I will immediately emphasize that Putin will sacrifice everything: civilians, commerce, he may not even fill ambulances, but everything will be sent to war.
Damaged plants, refinery stations and transport hubs currently do not provide the full volume of petroleum products processing, as well as their transit. The length of delivery of fuels and lubricants increases. The Russian occupying forces are beginning to feel a progressive deficit, but the first signs are already happening against the backdrop of a collapse in exports and a deficit for domestic consumers.
Such attacks are effective, they will continue, if only for the reason that the restoration of any of these oil refineries in itself is unacceptable. In addition, there are several refineries left in the near affected area that should be taken out of operation”, expert said.
Perhaps Russia will use the Belarusian oil refineries in Mazyr and Navapolatsk for its needs. Is there a possibility that some unidentified UAV will fly to these objects?
According to expert, it is possible that Putin will use them. “But they will not be able to compensate for the dozens of Russian refineries that have failed or are temporarily out of order. This will be some kind of situational compensation that will not have a critical impact on the resumption of supply to the domestic consumer in the Russian Federation or the occupying army.
On the other hand, if this facility takes part in this kind of support and supply, then who knows... In Belarus, after all, there are partisans who act in the interests of the Belarusian people, and not the Lukashenka regime. It is possible that something could happen there too”, Kovalenko said.
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