How will Russia's war on Ukraine end
As Russia enters its third year of war against Ukraine, we need to ask: how will this war end? Let us firstly revisit Emeritus Professor Paul Dibb's ANU Public Lecture in August 2022 when he set out the reasons why he thought Putin went to war.
1. The catastrophic collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 and Yeltsin’s recognition of a separate country called Ukraine.
2. Putin’s belief that there is no such country as Ukraine.
3. Putin’s view that NATO’s expansion to the borders of the Soviet Union is an act of aggression.
4. Ukraine’s ambition to be a member of NATO is seen by Putin as a first-order strategic challenge to Russia.
5. Putin has now proclaimed a new strategic threat: the West is seeking to destroy Russia and Russia is now fighting for its “very survival.”
After revisiting these accusations, let us examine first, how the military fight is changing and what its prospects are for winners and losers; second, what are the possibilities for a ceasefire and negotiations aimed at an enduring peace; third, what are the risks of this war extending further into neighboring NATO countries; and fourth what are the implications for China’s attitude to using military force against Taiwan?
Finally, if the aim of the US and its NATO allies is to “defeat” Russia how will this be achieved against a country with 1500 strategic nuclear weapons? And what would a defeated Russia look like? A Weimar Germany? Or can we conceive of other outcomes under a new Russian leadership?
-
1:32:54
Mostly Sports With Mark Titus and Brandon Walker
2 hours agoMostly Sports with Mark Titus & Brandon Walker Presented by Jägermeister | EP 212 | 7.24.24
3.58K -
UPCOMING
Armed Scholar
1 hour agoSupreme Court 8-1 Order Shatters Immediate "Assault Weapon" & Magazine Case Hopes! What Now?
461 -
LIVE
The Charlie Kirk Show
1 hour agoThe JD Vance Interview + Cruel Kamala + Polling Update | Vance, Dhillon, Crane, Maloney, Baris
11,376 watching -
58:55
The Dan Bongino Show
3 hours agoTroubling New Video Shows Why The Secret Service Is Hiding The Timeline (Ep. 2293) - 07/24/2024
508K1.29K -
LIVE
Producer Michael
1 hour agoWHY YOU SHOULD NEVER BUY LAB GROWN DIAMONDS! (ACCORDING TO MARTIN RAPAPORT)
336 watching -
59:18
The Rubin Report
2 hours agoDave Portnoy Loses His S**t About Democrats' Hypocritical Plan
41.2K31 -
12:46
The Tulsi Gabbard Show
18 hours agoKamala Harris Would Still Be Hillary Clinton's Puppet
32.3K145 -
LIVE
Benny Johnson
3 hours ago🚨FBI Director DESTROYED LIVE NOW in Congress on Trump Assassination | BOMBSHELL Footage Released
21,616 watching -
38:08
TudorDixon
3 hours agoUnited Republicans Vs. Freaked Out Democrats with Stacy Washington | The Tudor Dixon Podcast
10.7K -
LIVE
Midnight's Edge
3 hours agoThe biggest shareholder abandons Disney, on the eve Deadpool vs Wolverine | MEiTM #591
485 watching