UK net migration will start falling to pre Brexit levels, analysis shows

Net migration to the UK is likely to fall significantly in the coming years but remain at pre-Brexit levels of about 300,000, analysis by academic experts suggests. Net migration was a record 606,000 in the 12 months to June 2022, up 24% on the previous year, prompting Rishi Sunak to say “numbers are too high, it’s as simple as that, and I want to bring them down”. The sharp increase has been driven by several factors, including the arrival of refugees from Ukraine and Hong Kong on special visa schemes as well as rapid rises in both student and work visas. The analysis, by experts from the Migration Observatory at Oxford University and the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, argues that some of these forces are likely to unwind in the years ahead regardless of government policy, with many students returning home after two or three years, for example. By examining typical “stay rates” for different groups of migrants, the report predicts a significant increase in emigration – people leaving the UK.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/oct/16/uk-net-migration-will-start-falling-to-pre-brexit-levels-analysis-shows

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