Is The Fed Done Raising Rates?

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In this video, I discuss whether or not the Fed is done raising interest rates for this cycle, by examining Fed jawboning, long-term interest rates, and the context of a highly levered economy and geopolitical conflict.

I conclude that the Fed is done raising interest rates, having already blown up the US banking system and frozen the US housing market.

There is a good chance that the Fed interest rate cuts next year coincide with the approval of a Bitcoin spot ETF and the Bitcoin halving. A dovish Fed adds more rocket fuel to the fire.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Fed governors/chiefs signaling the end of rate hikes:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/05/feds-...
https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates...

Powell keeps using the word "careful":
https://twitter.com/yardeni/status/17...

Kashkari reverses his hawkish stance:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/feds-kas...
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/fe...

US Housing to Powell Fed: No More Hikes:
https://twitter.com/truflation/status...

Interest on US gov debt going parabolic:
https://twitter.com/BitcoinNewsCom/st...
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A0...

$7.6 trillion of publicly held U.S. government debt matures in next 12 months:
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/7-6...

US public debt to GDP:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GF...

US Treasury rates yield curve:
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-ce...

Krugman says we won the war on inflation at very little cost:
https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/statu...

Krugman seems to have forgotten that the Fed blew up the banking system in the process:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Un...

Yield Curve Control in the United States, 1942 to 1951:
https://www.chicagofed.org/publicatio...

Fed rate hike probabilities:
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/inte...

SEC won't appeal Grayscale loss:
https://decrypt.co/201493/sec-appeal-...

Odds of Bitcoin spot ETF approval by Jan 2024 at 90%:
https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine/s...

Bitcoin halving schedule:
https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashbo...

I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos. My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.

#Fed
#Bitcoin

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