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The Bond Vigilantes Are Back! And They're NOT Happy About Deficit Spending | Ed Yardeni
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Ed Yardeni, the investment strategist who coined the term "bond vigilantes" back in 1983 declares they are back & responsible for the painful recent rise in bond yields. Specifically, Ed thinks concerns about the high degree of deficit spending & increase in supply of US Treasurys is what has awakened them from their decades-long slumber.
Where does Ed see bonds & stocks headed from here? We discuss in detail in this interview.
Follow Ed at https://yardeniquicktakes.com/
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Bond vigilantes and their impact on interest rates.
1:00 Bond market dynamics and potential yield increases.
5:03 Economic recession and interest rates.
11:37 Housing market cooling, construction employment, and economic impact.
17:24 Government spending, interest rates, and consumer debt.
24:18 US economy, corporate profits, and bond market.
31:06 Stocks vs bonds, earnings, and valuation multiples.
37:07 Bond market trends and potential scenarios.
44:07 Fed's actions, inflation, and economic slowdown.
47:19 Economic outlook, inflation, and market trends.
52:55 Macroeconomic trends and investment strategies.
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There’s no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead?
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#bondyields #bondvigilantes #recession2024
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