Yankees vs Angels Predictions, Picks, Odds: German Has No Prayer vs Angels

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Following last night’s extra-inning 4-3 loss, the New York Yankees now find themselves in the AL East basement after 95 games for the first time since 1990. Now they’ll send Domingo German to the mound to oppose lefty Patrick Sandoval and the Los Angeles Angels as slight -115 road favorites. With the New York offense reeling and striking out 17 times last night vs. Griffin Canning and the Halos’ bullpen, is another solid performance from an L.A. starter projected tonight, or should bettors continue to fade German, whose markets are moving south in the MLB odds?
Find out where my...

Following last night’s extra-inning 4-3 loss, the New York Yankees now find themselves in the AL East basement after 95 games for the first time since 1990. Now they’ll send Domingo German to the mound to oppose lefty Patrick Sandoval and the Los Angeles Angels as slight -115 road favorites. With the New York offense reeling and striking out 17 times last night vs. Griffin Canning and the Halos’ bullpen, is another solid performance from an L.A. starter projected tonight, or should bettors continue to fade German, whose markets are moving south in the MLB odds?
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks and predictions for Yankees vs. Angels for Tuesday, July 18.
Yankees vs Angels odds Yankees vs Angels predictions
Don’t let Domingo German’s perfect game from earlier this year fool you: this is still a short-leashed pitcher that needs to be extremely efficient to get deep.
The New York starter has thrown fewer than 90 pitches in 13 of his 17 starts this year and has already seen his total outs market dip today. Yet plenty of value remains on the Under 16.5 outs at -105.
Even without Mike Trout, this is a decent Angels offense that has great hitting conditions in a good hitter’s park. Mickey Moniak is filling in offensively for Trout and has an OPS north of 1.000 over his last 30 games. He is now hitting behind Shohei Ohtani, who went yard again yesterday. 
Luis Severino needed 98 pitches to get his 18 outs last night. German has the shorter leash and is also coming back from elevation in Colorado, hasn’t pitched since July 9, and only threw 74 pitches in that start.
The market continues to fall on the Yankees starter, and THE BAT is projecting 85 pitches, 15.2 outs, 5.46 strikeouts, and 2.82 earned runs. A lot has to go right for German to get deep with his short leash. My best bet: German Under 16.5 outs (-105) Yankees vs Angels same-game parlay German Under 16.5 outs Sandoval Over 16.5 outs Angels F5 +0.5 This is a trio of correlated plays, and although the true odds are +500, the multiplier could certainly be worse. 
German struggles to get deep and hasn't pitched in nine days. He also threw just 74 pitches in that most recent start. Patrick Sandoval is facing a weak and injured lineup, and his high groundball rate should keep the score low and the Yankees off the board. 
I don't love the Angels' bullpen of late and think taking them at F5 +0.5 negates the edge the Yankees have in the later innings.  Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Yankees vs Angels moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Halos won as -140 home favorites in extra innings last night after taking some money before the first pitch. Yes, this is a lineup without Trout, but compared to what the Yankees rolled out last night, this is the better of the two offenses. Domingo German is maybe a 10-point better pitcher than Patrick Sandoval, at best.
Tonight’s moneyline opened at -115 in favor of the visitors but some books are moving this to a pick ‘em, which is the side I’d prefer tonight. I wouldn't be surprised if L.A. closed as a -115 favorite in some places. 
The Yankees lineup last night was tough to back and sported Oswald Peraza in the leadoff spot. It...