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Dodgers vs Orioles Predictions, Picks, Odds: Henderson Continues to Lead O's Offense
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The Los Angeles Dodgers and Baltimore Orioles continue a three-game series this evening.
If last night's game was any indication, we're in for an excellent finish to the series. We only saw two lead changes, but the one that would ultimately give the Dodgers the win was done in dramatic fashion.
That's when Chris Taylor hit a grand slam to bring the scoreline to 6-4. In the process, the Dodgers halted an 8-game winning streak for the O's while giving themselves a two-game lead in the NL West.
Keep reading for my best bet and full MLB betting picks for...
The Los Angeles Dodgers and Baltimore Orioles continue a three-game series this evening.
If last night's game was any indication, we're in for an excellent finish to the series. We only saw two lead changes, but the one that would ultimately give the Dodgers the win was done in dramatic fashion.
That's when Chris Taylor hit a grand slam to bring the scoreline to 6-4. In the process, the Dodgers halted an 8-game winning streak for the O's while giving themselves a two-game lead in the NL West.
Keep reading for my best bet and full MLB betting picks for Orioles vs. Dodgers below.
Dodgers vs Orioles odds Dodgers vs Orioles predictions
Today, I want to pick on Michael Grove. He'll take the mound for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and to put it bluntly, he's not been good for them this season. The best way to pick on him in this matchup is through the prop market and I'll be targeting one of the hottest hitters on the field as a result.
That hitter is Gunnar Henderson, and the prop is RBI at the attractive price of +180 over at bet365. Gunnar has recorded an RBI in six of his last 10 games, four of his last five, and last night in his first matchup against the Dodgers.
Taking a leadoff hitter to record an RBI may be unorthodox, but we like how this sets up for Henderson.
Lineups aren't official yet, but if the O's continue their same pattern, they'll have Ramon Urias and Adam Frazier in the fold at the No. 8 and 9 spots to turn the lineup back to Henderson. Naturally, we're looking for them to get on base and Henderson to bring them in. Given the matchup, we like their chances to do just that.
Last night, the Orioles had so much early success sitting on fastballs. Although they ultimately lost, they destroyed those pitches early, so they led early. Urias was a part of this, getting a hit early after sitting on a fastball. Tonight, he'll have the luxury of seeing a fastball-heavy pitcher again, and we're aiming for history to repeat itself.
As for Frazier, I won't try to sell you on him being a tremendous hitter. The numbers certainly don't lie, and he's batting in the spot he is for a reason. With that said, he's a tough player to strike out. He has a K-rate in the Bottom 10% of the league and an even better whiff rate.
Given how much Grove has struggled when balls are put into play against him, you don't have to think too long before you can envision a scenario where we see Frazier on base, perhaps multiple times.
I love the value tonight on Henderson in this spot. Overall, I view him as the best hitter in the O's lineup when it comes to contact and metrics such as a hard-hit rate in the 93rd percentile agree with me.
He should have multiple opportunities to bring in a run tonight, and given the contact problems the pitcher he's facing has, creating an RBI all by his lonesome isn't entirely out of the realm of possibilities either. My best bet: Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBI (+180) Dodgers vs Orioles same-game parlay Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBI (+180) Over 9.5 (-110) Tyler Wells Over 1.5 walks (-150) We're tying Henderson to record an RBI in our same-game parlay tonight with two other legs. The first is the Over at 9.5. We'll talk about this more in a bit but last night's game finished with 10 runs, and it's difficult to see this one going under that amount.
The Orioles hold a massive advantage on one end, but the Dodgers...
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