Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Predictions, Picks, Odds: No Looking Back

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The Toronto Blue Jays come out of the All-Star break with a 50-41 record, which is the best mark they've had at the unofficial midway point in each of the last three seasons. But by all accounts, Toronto has not lived up to expectations. So, the Jays will be looking for some improved play quickly. But they’ll get put to the test right away as they welcome the National League West-leading Arizona Diamondbacks to town. Toronto hands the ball to the resurgent Jose Berrios for the opener, while Arizona counters with a right-hander of their own in Ryne Nelson. With...

The Toronto Blue Jays come out of the All-Star break with a 50-41 record, which is the best mark they've had at the unofficial midway point in each of the last three seasons. But by all accounts, Toronto has not lived up to expectations. So, the Jays will be looking for some improved play quickly. But they’ll get put to the test right away as they welcome the National League West-leading Arizona Diamondbacks to town. Toronto hands the ball to the resurgent Jose Berrios for the opener, while Arizona counters with a right-hander of their own in Ryne Nelson. With an edge in starters the Blue Jays are sizeable home favorites in this interleague matchup, but do the D-backs have value as road dogs? I break down the MLB odds, bring you my best bet, and even a same-game parlay in tonight’s MLB picks and predictions Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays. Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays odds Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays predictions
To Toronto Blue Jays fans it probably doesn’t feel like the team should be nine games over .500 and in the second wild-card spot in the American League. But that’s what talent can do for you and it’s clear that most players and people around the team will tell you we haven’t seen their best baseball yet.
Getting the second half of the season off to a good start will be very important with the trade deadline just a few weeks away. So, handing the ball to Jose Berrios in the opener of tonight’s series against the Arizona Diamondbacks is a good start.
The Berrios bounce back has been one of the better stories for the Jays in the first half of the season. The right-hander had a downright awful 2022 and after a couple of tough starts to begin the year, many wondered if 2023 would be more of the same.
But that hasn’t been the case. Berrios has pretty much been great in the first half. He is pitching to a 2.80 ERA and is limiting opponents to a .220 batting average over his last 15 starts. Arizona poses a tough lineup featuring the likes of All-Star Corbin Carroll, but Berrios has put up strong performances against other top teams like the Baltimore Orioles, Houston Astros, and the Tampa Bay Rays.
Countering Berrios is Diamondbacks right-hander Ryne Nelson. It is the 25-year-old’s first year as a full-time starter and there have definitely been some growing pains.
Nelson is pitching to an expected ERA of 4.97 while surrendering a .267 expected batting average, a .462 expected slugging percentage, and is striking out just 16% of the batters he has faced. All of them rank in the Bottom 19% or worse in the MLB.
Now, the Jays have had some struggles cashing in runners, but overall they rank sixth in batting average, ninth in OPS, and sixth in wRC+ when facing right-handed pitching this season.
If you can find the Blue Jays on the five-inning runline I would take that, but for now, the best bet will be backing them to put the first runs on the board. My best bet: Team to score first - Blue Jays (-105 at SPORTS INTERACTION) Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays same-game parlay Blue Jays score first Blue Jays ML first-five Belt 1+ hit Under 9.5 Tonight’s same-game parlay is a bit of a fade of poor Ryne Nelson. The advance numbers aren’t great for the kid, and the Blue Jays tend to have more success vs. right-handed pitching this season. So, let’s start with Toronto scoring first. And as hinted at above, I like the Blue Jays to hold a lead through five in...