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Cubs vs Yankees Predictions, Picks, Odds: Lineups Get Caught Looking Ahead to All-Star Break
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The Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees will wrap up a three-game series on Sunday afternoon in the Bronx.Â
The pair split the first two games of this series, with the Yankees getting the better of the Cubs yesterday. For various reasons, New York has been difficult to pen down this season. Chief among them is once they start playing better for a stretch, the offense disappears. Yesterday was an exception to that rule, as New York struck early and often.
The loss for Chicago was a continuation of .500 play over its last four games. They'll enter today in...
The Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees will wrap up a three-game series on Sunday afternoon in the Bronx.Â
The pair split the first two games of this series, with the Yankees getting the better of the Cubs yesterday. For various reasons, New York has been difficult to pen down this season. Chief among them is once they start playing better for a stretch, the offense disappears. Yesterday was an exception to that rule, as New York struck early and often.
The loss for Chicago was a continuation of .500 play over its last four games. They'll enter today in third place in a highly competitive NL Central race.
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks and predictions for Cubs vs. Yankees on Sunday, July 9.
Cubs vs Yankees odds Cubs vs Yankees predictions
As someone who supports and follows the Yankees on a day-to-day basis, it's been difficult for me to get a grasp on this team.
We've seen just how many flaws Aaron Judge covered up. We've seen some good moments too, but it's mostly been sluggish offensive showings as they try to piece together runs. And that plays into my best bet today.
In the absence of its star, it's been rare that this New York team has put together back-to-back solid offensive performances. With Kyle Hendricks taking the mound for the Cubs, I don't expect that to start today, either. I'm grabbing the Under as my best bet.Â
Let's start with the Domingo German side of things first. Two starts ago, the Yankees hurler had a magical night when he threw a perfect game against the Oakland Athletics. He followed that up with a start more typical of him when he allowed three runs in just over four innings to the Baltimore Orioles.
German's success is predicated on getting chased outside the zone and creating some misses. I'm expecting him to be able to do both of those things this afternoon, which is why I'm backing him to have success.Â
The Cubs make the sixth-least contact on pitches thrown in the zone. Because of that, they've made some midseason changes. While they've not ranked high overall this season in chase rate, over the last month, they have the fourth-highest clip in baseball in that metric. That could have led to their strikeout per game number ticking up and reaching the sixth-highest number in baseball.
Either way, this should enable Germany to eat up some innings. It's not a coincidence that his perfect game against the Oakland Athletics came against a team that ranks high in strikeout rate and chase rate.Â
On the other side, predicting what this Yankees offense will do on a game-to-game basis is like playing roulette. That said, I like the matchup for Hendricks.Â
Regression is coming for the veteran, but right now, he's quietly enjoying one of the best seasons of his career. The teams that start delivering those doses of regression for Hendricks will be ones filled with good hitting from top to bottom.
His struggles are primarily missing too many bats and having an expected batting average that is way out of line from his actual numbers. The Yankees aren't that type of team.
They rank dead last in BABIP and remain predicated on the long ball or random clutch power hit to win them games. That'll be hard to come by against a pitcher like Hendricks, who is in the Top 30% of any metric related to hard hitting.Â
Grab the Under this afternoon. Each pitcher has a favorable matchup, and there's...
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