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Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, Picks, and Odds: Too Low a Total for Two Clic...
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The Connecticut Sun will look to continue their winning ways at home on Sunday afternoon when they host Elena Delle Donne and the Washington Mystics in a matchup between Eastern Conference WNBA rivals.
Both teams are coming off a win heading into today’s game. Connecticut (13-5) beat the Seattle Storm 93-73 on Thursday night, while Washington (10-7) last played on Friday, scoring a 96-88 win over the Indiana Fever.
While neither team is known for having a high-octane approach, both squads have been flashing some scoring punch in recent games. We’ll break down what that means for WNBA odds bettors...
The Connecticut Sun will look to continue their winning ways at home on Sunday afternoon when they host Elena Delle Donne and the Washington Mystics in a matchup between Eastern Conference WNBA rivals.
Both teams are coming off a win heading into today’s game. Connecticut (13-5) beat the Seattle Storm 93-73 on Thursday night, while Washington (10-7) last played on Friday, scoring a 96-88 win over the Indiana Fever.
While neither team is known for having a high-octane approach, both squads have been flashing some scoring punch in recent games. We’ll break down what that means for WNBA odds bettors in our free WNBA picks and predictions for Mystics vs. Sun on July 9.Â
Mystics vs Sun best odds Mystics vs Sun picks and predictions
When it comes to pace metrics, the Washington Mystics and the Connecticut Sun rank right in the middle of the pack among WNBA teams. Yet that hasn’t stopped these two clubs from playing high-scoring basketball on a consistent basis over the last few weeks.
For the season, Washington has been the best defensive team in the league, allowing a WNBA-best 77.4 points per game. Its offense has only been average, putting up 80.5 points a night, but that’s been enough to build a winning record.Â
Recently, however, the Mystics have been finding themselves battling teams in shootouts on a nightly basis. In each of the team’s last five games, Washington has played to a total of 161 points or more. In four of those games, the total has been at least 177, and the Mystics have scored 88 points or more four times in that span.
Connecticut has both scored more points per game (84.4) and allowed more (79.2) than Washington this year, though it isn’t exactly one of the league’s biggest run-and-gun teams either. Just like the Mystics, however, the Sun have found themselves playing to higher scores on a regular basis in recent games.
Connecticut has played to totals of above 160 points in nine of its last 11 games. Even in the exceptions — an 89-68 win over the Minnesota Lynx, and an 83-74 victory at the Los Angeles Sparks — the Sun played to a reasonable total of 157 points. Connecticut is riding a four-game streak in which every game has come in above 165 points, and the Sun haven’t scored less than 80 points in any of their last 14 contests.
That brings us to tonight’s game, in which the total has been set as low as 159.5 points at some sites. This is the kind of number that looks reasonable when you look at the season-long averages for these teams. Washington’s average total of 157.9 actually comes in under the number, while Connecticut’s average (163.6) isn’t far above it.
But that ignores what we’ve seen from these teams as of late. If this were an aberration of just a few games on one side, we could chalk it up to variance, but these two teams are clearly playing a different brand of basketball as we head into the summer. It’s rare that either team has gotten close to this number recently, let alone below it.
With both Washington and Connecticut poised to score points tonight, I’m taking the Over. And while it’s best to find the lowest number you can grab, I’d be happy to place this bet even at 160.5 or 161 points, which is about as high as it sits at any sportsbook as of Sunday morning. My best bet: Over 159.5 points (-113 at Unibet) Not in...
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