UFC 290 Nickal vs Woodburn Picks and Predictions: Underdog Substitute is Overmatched

UFC 290 Nickal vs Woodburn Picks and Predictions: Underdog Substitute is Overmatched Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting NewsShow more

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UFC middleweights Bo Nickal and Val Woodburn look to make the most of their time in the spotlight as these two prospects face off on the UFC 290 undercard, taking place this weekend from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. UFC odds have Nickal a seemingly insurmountable favorite at -2,400, while late substitute Woodburn is a decided +1,200 underdog. The stars are aligning to give Nickal another win on a high-profile card.
Let’s see how this fight between the two prospects plays out, and what I think the best plays are ahead of this Nickal vs. Woodburn showdown in Las...

UFC middleweights Bo Nickal and Val Woodburn look to make the most of their time in the spotlight as these two prospects face off on the UFC 290 undercard, taking place this weekend from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. UFC odds have Nickal a seemingly insurmountable favorite at -2,400, while late substitute Woodburn is a decided +1,200 underdog. The stars are aligning to give Nickal another win on a high-profile card.
Let’s see how this fight between the two prospects plays out, and what I think the best plays are ahead of this Nickal vs. Woodburn showdown in Las Vegas.
Nickal vs Woodburn fight odds Nickal vs Woodburn method of victory odds Method of Victory
Bo Nickal
Val Woodburn To win by KO/TKO/DQ
+200
+2,000 To win by Decision
+900
+2,500 To win by Submission
-225
+7,500 Draw
+5,000
+5,000 Odds courtesy of DraftKings on July 6, 2023. Nickal vs Woodburn picks Prediction: Nickal ML (-2,400) Best bet: Nickal ML (-2,400) Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site. Best UFC bonuses
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The UFC sure seems sweet on Nickal. This is his second straight appearance on a major pay-per-view card where he's a huge favorite. The wrestling prodigy has all the right qualities to make him a potential megastar, and the promotion is ensuring he gets plenty of exposure to the public and is brought along delicately.
Nickal has been marketed as a strong wrestler and with the limited appearances we’ve seen from him, it’s accurate. He has a suffocating grappling game and supreme conditioning. Once he gets his opponents on the ground, he becomes immediately dangerous as he seeks out submissions. In his three fights with the UFC, he’s averaging 12.50 takedowns per 15 minutes and three first-round submission wins.
So far, Nickal has been fighting opponents who lack the resources to handle his groundwork. Original opponent Tresean Gore figured to be more of the same, and we shouldn’t expect a change in plans with Nickal’s strategy. The southpaw will move forward, throw a few shots to get Woodburn’s hands up and take him down into the mat. Not much is known about Woodburn, but he was slated to fight for a UFC contract as part of the Dana White Contender Series. He’s 7-0 and trains with the Xtreme Couture gym and operates primarily as a striker. He’s also the current middleweight title of the regional Combat Night promotions, so he's more of an unknown than a total novice.
The Jamaican is no doubt benefitting from working with top fighters and is more versatile than Gore. With what we’ve seen from Woodburn, he’s a pressure fighter with good striking instincts and a solid finisher. He’s scored five knockouts in seven fights and may give Nickal some trouble if he can avoid the takedowns.    
Five days' notice to face a blue-chip prospect is never an easy ask....