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Blue Jays vs White Sox Predictions, Picks, Odds: Toronto Takes Advantage of Pitching Matchup On...
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Thanks to some late-game heroics from Vladimir Guerrero Jr., the Toronto Blue Jays continued their strong performances against non-American League East opponents, taking the opener of their three-game series vs. the Chicago White Sox in a 4-3 final on Tuesday.
Tonight, they’ll go for the series win when they hand the ball to Jose Berrios. The right-hander has once again become a (much-needed) reliable arm in the Blue Jays rotation, but will he be able to cool off the white-hot Luis Robert Jr.?
The White Sox counter Berrios with a veteran right-hander of their own in Lance Lynn. But things...
Thanks to some late-game heroics from Vladimir Guerrero Jr., the Toronto Blue Jays continued their strong performances against non-American League East opponents, taking the opener of their three-game series vs. the Chicago White Sox in a 4-3 final on Tuesday.
Tonight, they’ll go for the series win when they hand the ball to Jose Berrios. The right-hander has once again become a (much-needed) reliable arm in the Blue Jays rotation, but will he be able to cool off the white-hot Luis Robert Jr.?
The White Sox counter Berrios with a veteran right-hander of their own in Lance Lynn. But things have not gone smoothly for Lynn this season (like, at all), meaning Toronto is a slight road favorite in the MLB odds tonight.
I break down this AL matchup and bring you my best bet, plus a juicy same-game parlay in our MLB picks and predictions for Blue Jays vs. White Sox on July 5.
Blue Jays vs White Sox odds Blue Jays vs White Sox predictions Vladimir Guerrero Jr. belted his fourth home run in his last 10 games in the top of the eighth inning off Joe Kelly, and Jordan Romano came in to close out the 4-3 victory for Toronto in last night’s series opener. The win improved the Blue Jays' record to 39-20 against non-American League East opponents, and they’ll be favorites to improve on that record in tonight’s Game 2 vs. the White Sox.
A big reason for that is because the Pale Hose are handing the ball to Lance Lynn. The veteran right-hander is having a rough go of things in the first half of the season. Lynn is pitching to a 4.77 expected ERA while surrendering a .254 expected batting average and a .456 expected slugging percentage to opponents this season, the latter of which ranks in the 21st percentile. It’s been even worse lately.
Lynn’s ERA balloons to 7.71 while giving up a .939 OPS over his last six starts, and tonight’s matchup against the Blue Jays isn’t exactly an easy one. Despite Toronto’s struggles to consistently cash in base runners, their numbers against right-handers overall are solid. The Jays rank fifth in batting average, eighth in OPS, and fifth in wRC+ vs righties this season.
Countering Lynn is Jose Berrios. The right-hander hasn’t been outstanding, but at the very least he’s a reliable arm in the Jays rotation. Berrios has a 3.02 ERA and is limiting opponents to a .231 batting average over his last 14 starts, recording nine quality starts over that span.
He got hurt by the long ball in his last start against the Boston Red Sox, but as long as he doesn’t mess around with Luis Robert Jr., who is hitting nukes on the regular, he’ll have a chance to be effective.
That’s because the White Sox have not had much success vs. right-handed pitchers. As a team, Chicago ranks 22nd in batting average, 28th in OPS, and 25th in wRC+ when facing righties this season.
In the end, this handicap is very similar to yesterday’s. Toronto has a slight edge in starters and bullpen, and a clear edge when it comes to the consistency of the respective lineups. The Blue Jays have value on the moneyline at this price once again. My best bet: Blue Jays moneyline (-128 at SIA) Blue Jays vs White Sox same-game parlay Blue Jays moneyline Berrios Over 4.5 Ks Lynn Over 2.5 ER Lynn Under 18.5 outs Lynn Over 6.5 Ks Apologies, but I went a little crazy with today’s same-game parlay where pitc...
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