First MLB Manager Fired Odds: The Buck Stops Here

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In a season that's been dominated by two incredible teams — the Tampa Bay Rays and Atlanta Braves — it's the teams not making noise that have everyone talking. The New York Mets, St. Louis Cardinals, and San Diego Padres, all with lofty World Series expectations heading into the year, now face a very real possibility of missing the postseason entirely. As we approach the All-Star break and general managers begin looking ahead to their plans for the MLB trade deadline, a handful of managers are starting to feel the heat. MLB odds now allow us to wager on the...

In a season that's been dominated by two incredible teams — the Tampa Bay Rays and Atlanta Braves — it's the teams not making noise that have everyone talking. The New York Mets, St. Louis Cardinals, and San Diego Padres, all with lofty World Series expectations heading into the year, now face a very real possibility of missing the postseason entirely. As we approach the All-Star break and general managers begin looking ahead to their plans for the MLB trade deadline, a handful of managers are starting to feel the heat. MLB odds now allow us to wager on the first manager to be fired, and there are some notable names on the list, although no clear favorite has emerged yet. Let's take a closer look at which managers could be given their walking papers sooner than expected.
First MLB manager fired odds Manager
Odds Buck Showalter (Mets)
+300 Oliver Marmol (Cardinals)
+400 Dave Martinez (Nationals)
+500 Bud Black (Rockies)
+600 David Ross (Cubs)
+800 Alex Cora (Red Sox)
+900 Phil Nevin (Angels)
+1,000 Mark Kotsay (Athletics)
+1,200 Bob Melvin (Padres)
+1,200 Odds as of July 5, 2023. First MLB manager fired
Buck Showalter (+300)
If you look up “disappointment” in the dictionary, you would see a picture of the 2023 New York Mets. This is a team that was a preseason favorite to win the World Series but instead find themselves seven games below .500, 18 games back of the first-place Atlanta Braves, and 6.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot. Everything that has could go wrong for the Mets has and the scapegoat for this mess may be Buck Showalter. He’s shown countless times this season that he just cannot manage a dugout or a bullpen.
He continues to trot out the same lineup that’s in the bottom half of the league in runs, hits, batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. He also continues to mismanage his bullpen — often leaving starters in one batter too long, or not bringing in the right closer for certain situations. Mets owner David Cohen has come out and said GM Billy Eppler and Showalter are safe, but the owner’s kiss-of-death looms large here. For a manager that’s been around as long as Showalter has, (22 seasons, 1,687 wins, 1,621 losses) he’s never once reached the Fall Classic and he won’t have that opportunity with the Mets because he’s out the door 24 hours after the Mets' final game.  Best MLB bonuses
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Speaking of massive disappointments, I’m sure nobody in the St. Louis Cardinals organization expected to be 15 games below .500 with just under half the season left to play. The Cardinals look like a shell of the team that won the NL Central with 93 wins last year despite returning most of their key pieces. The Cardinals look disinterred this season. They play terrible fundamental baseball and the pitching staff is simply not good enough as they sit in the Bottom 5 in the league in runs allowed, hits allowed, opponent batting average, and team ERA. It’s not all Oliver Marmol’s fault but questionable decision-making and a lack of lea...