Here’s Why Elon Musk is Wrong About Hyperloop

Elon Musk proposed the concept of a super-fast underground train system called Hyperloop in a 2013 white paper. The proposed system could potentially reach a maximum speed of 760 mph, cutting travel times drastically. However, the idea itself traces its origins back to 1799 when British engineer George Medhurst conceptualized a similar pressurized tube transport system, called Vactrain.

Two key factors could make the Hyperloop faster than any existing train. The first is the use of Maglev (magnetic levitation) technology that eliminates friction between the train and its tracks, allowing for much faster speeds. The second is vacuum tunnels that remove air resistance, resulting in higher speeds, lower energy consumption, and reduced maintenance costs.

Despite these technological possibilities, the financial feasibility of such a project is questionable. Elon Musk initially estimated the cost of a San Francisco-Los Angeles line at around $6 billion, but later evaluations have suggested significantly higher costs. For instance, Hyperloop One estimated a 107-mile line would cost nearly $13 billion. Maintenance costs have also been historically high for Maglev lines. These factors cast doubt on the affordability of tickets, initially projected to cost $20 but now estimated closer to $100.

As of now, more than 10 companies are developing Hyperloop technology, with limited progress. Hyperloop One did complete a passenger test, but the achieved speed was considerably lower than initially predicted. The project still seems ambitious, but companies continue to explore this potential future of transportation.

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