Phillies vs Rays Predictions, Picks, Odds: Nola Battles With Tampa's Top Lineup

Phillies vs Rays Predictions, Picks, Odds: Nola Battles With Tampa's Top Lineup Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting News

Bet at MGM - IF YOUR BET LOSES, YOU’LL GET UP TO $1,000 BACK IN BONUS BETS - https://bit.ly/BetMGM1

Want To Place a Bet .. Download the Best Online Sportsbook! (IOS) http://bit.ly/453YUZG

Grab Barstool Sports Apparel @ The Official Barstool Store: https://bit.ly/barstool23

Bet On All The Big Games @ Xbet: https://bit.ly/xbetnow
First Deposit Bonus Up To $500 + $10 Casino Chip

Please Subscribe!
The Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays open up a three-game set at the Trop this afternoon and both winning clubs will be throwing out some front-end arms as Aaron Nola goes up against Zach Eflin.
However, after 250+ innings of work from Nola in 2022 and some concerning numbers across the board this season — especially on the road — is today a perfect time to fade the Philly starter vs. one of the best offenses in baseball? Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB betting picks for Phillies vs. Rays for Tuesday, July 4.
Phillies...

The Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays open up a three-game set at the Trop this afternoon and both winning clubs will be throwing out some front-end arms as Aaron Nola goes up against Zach Eflin.
However, after 250+ innings of work from Nola in 2022 and some concerning numbers across the board this season — especially on the road — is today a perfect time to fade the Philly starter vs. one of the best offenses in baseball? Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB betting picks for Phillies vs. Rays for Tuesday, July 4.
Phillies vs Rays odds Phillies vs Rays predictions Aaron Nola has allowed three or more earned runs in 11 of his 17 starts this season and in 80% of his road starts. The right-hander is coming off a long 2022 that saw him throw over 250 innings including the postseason and his 2023 numbers are nowhere near where they were a season ago. 
Nola has seen a significant drop in his strikeout rate and a rise in his walk and home run rates. He’s getting fewer outs on the ground this year, has a slight spin-rate decrease over his last three starts, and all of his pitches have seen a slight drop in velocity compared to a season ago.
Now Nola has to face an elite offense in Tampa Bay that scores the second-most runs per game at home behind only the Rangers.
The visiting pitcher has given up his fair share of long balls this season (the 10th most in baseball) and could find himself with a stiff neck vs. an offense that averages 1.51 long balls per game, the third-best mark in baseball. 
Eleven of Nola’s 17 homers have come on the road and he’s allowed at least one four-bagger in 10 of his last 11 starts. Stringing together singles isn’t the easiest way to three earned runs vs. Nola, but with some command issues and a flyball frequency, the Rays could hit the Over 2.5 earned runs early, even if Nola is sharp.
The Philadelphia Phillies starter also gets a long leash so there will be plenty of time to get this Over the line if Tampa strands some early runners.  My best bet: Aaron Nola Over 2.5 earned runs (-113) Phillies vs Rays same-game parlay Aaron Nola Over 2.5 earned runs (-115) Luke Raley to record 2+ total bases (+165) Aaron Nola Under 18.5 outs (-170) Nola has a tough matchup vs. the Tampa Bay offense and the right-hander's play away from home has not impressed after a heavy workload in 2022. He's given up 3+ runs in nine of his 10 road starts this season and pitching into the seventh is not an easy thing to do vs. this offense. 
Raley is currently hitting in the No. 4 spot in this lineup, has a .950 OPS on the season, and is slashing .319/.407/.649 over the last 30 days. He is plenty insulated in this lineup and has a multi-hit game in eight of his last 20 contests. 
The true odds are +680 but all three plays are correlated.   Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Phillies vs Rays moneyline and Over/Under analysis
Zach Eflin and the Rays opened as -140 home favorites at bet365 and have since moved to -145. It's the longest Eflin has been at home over his last five home starts where he’s averaged a -188 favorite. He closed as a -165 favorite vs. the Blue Jays (Alek Manoah) in a 6-3 win back in late May where the books were still pricing Monaoh as a go...