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Best WNBA Player Props Today: From Boston to Dallas on Sunday Afternoon
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Prop bet #1: Arike averted Arike Ogunbowale has begun this season on an all-time heater, but that’s also seen her points prop climb and climb in recent weeks. Now facing a stiff challenge against the Washington Mystics, I’m inclined to fade her at 21.5 for Sunday’s action.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, the Mystics have by far the best group of defensive guards in the WNBA. Each of the trio of Ariel Atkin, Natasha Cloud, and Brittney Sykes are All-Defense-caliber players and together form a three-headed monster that terrorizes opponents on a nightly basis. Atkins was...
Prop bet #1: Arike averted Arike Ogunbowale has begun this season on an all-time heater, but that’s also seen her points prop climb and climb in recent weeks. Now facing a stiff challenge against the Washington Mystics, I’m inclined to fade her at 21.5 for Sunday’s action.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, the Mystics have by far the best group of defensive guards in the WNBA. Each of the trio of Ariel Atkin, Natasha Cloud, and Brittney Sykes are All-Defense-caliber players and together form a three-headed monster that terrorizes opponents on a nightly basis. Atkins was the first WNBA player to make five straight All-Defense teams to open her career and is perhaps the hardest guard to screen in the W.
Cloud is just a bulldog on both ends, a brick wall that even forwards have trouble moving when she plants her feet. And Sykes has incredible anticipation. While she’s likely to not be on-ball against Arike as much as Atkin and Cloud, that plays to her strengths, as for all her individual virtues she’s even better as a help defender.
All of them will get stretches against Arike on Sunday, as there are no other serious guard threats on the Dallas Wings roster. When these two teams played last on June 2, they held Arike to just 7-for-21 from the field for 18 points and only allowed her two free throws. Particularly with Elena Delle Donne likely out, the path of least resistance will be elsewhere for Dallas. I’d never expect Arike to get totally shut out because she’s just too crafty with a live dribble, but I’m comfortable betting against her season average of 22.4 points. Arike Ogunbowale prop: Under 21.5 points (-113 at FanDuel) Prop bet #3: Boston bounces back Aliyah Boston is a marvel. She was just recently named an All-Star starter, the first rookie to do so since 2014 and just the eighth in WNBA history. She’s also leading the league in shooting from the field at 62.6%, with the only one even in her stratosphere being Brittney Griner, herself one of the most talented interior scorers in league history.
Entering the league with 66.7% true shooting puts her in the elite of the elite, a Top-10 player in the league already. She had a tough outing last game against the aforementioned Griner of the Phoenix Mercury, but she proved how good she can be even against elite defenders like A’ja Wilson in her pair of games against the Las Vegas Aces. Boston and the Fever made the defending champs sweat out all 40 minutes of both games. Nobody on the Chicago Sky has anyone who approaches what Griner can bring to the game as a rim protector and big body in the paint.
The Sky are coming along nicely with their rebuilding season, having just ended a six-game losing skid with a pair of impressive wins against (an admittedly wounded) Los Angeles Sparks squad. But their strength is their guards and perimeter players, not their interior defense. They allow the second most points in the paint of any WNBA team at 38.9 per game, and that is Aliyah’s office. Boston is 6-foot-5 and 220 pounds, dwarfing every player on the Sky roster in both size and length. I’m banking on Boston bouncing back strong against the diminutive Sky. Aliyah Boston prop: Over 15.5 points (-120 at bet365) Prop bet #2: Sublime Sally
Building on the same logic as the Ogunbowale bet, we’re turning to her running mate Satou Sabally for our next bet...
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