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Astros vs Rangers Predictions, Picks, Odds: Scores Are Bigger in Texas
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There’s a great matchup on tap deep in the heart of Texas as the Houston Astros (45-38) face the Texas Rangers (50-33) this afternoon.
The series has been back and forth thus far, as the Astros took Game 1 by a score of 5-3 but the Rangers bounced back with a 5-2 victory in Game 2.
Both lineups have been hot, ranking in the Top 5 of wRC+ across the last 10 days. I’m expecting them to produce yet again and will be targeting the total for Game 3.
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks and...
There’s a great matchup on tap deep in the heart of Texas as the Houston Astros (45-38) face the Texas Rangers (50-33) this afternoon.
The series has been back and forth thus far, as the Astros took Game 1 by a score of 5-3 but the Rangers bounced back with a 5-2 victory in Game 2.
Both lineups have been hot, ranking in the Top 5 of wRC+ across the last 10 days. I’m expecting them to produce yet again and will be targeting the total for Game 3.
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks and predictions for Astros vs. Rangers on Sunday, July 2.
Astros vs Rangers odds Astros vs Rangers predictions Andrew Heaney gets the call for the Rangers. He’s been getting rocked, surrendering a 10.8% barrel rate, making it the second straight season in which he’s reached double digits in that dubious regard. His starts have tended to be high-scoring as the Rangers are 9-4 O/U in his 13 starts.
He faces a Houston lineup that has hit lefties well, posting a 118 wRC+ and .339 wOBA since the start of June. They have the lowest strikeout rate (16.2%) in MLB in that span and therefore there’s reason to expect they’ll be able to counteract Heaney’s strikeout-heavy approach.
Another trend supporting a high-scoring game is that the Astros are 4-1-1 O/U in their last six overall as the lineup has been performing well. Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman are both swinging the stick well lately, while Jose Abreu has finally come to life and has reached base in eight straight games.
Rookie Shawn Dubin gets the call for the Astros. He’s made just two appearances this season — both out of the bullpen — while surrendering six runs across just five innings of work. It’ll likely be a bullpen game as Dubin isn’t expected to pitch deep into the afternoon.
He’ll face a Rangers lineup that has been raking, posting a 134 wRC+ and .364 wOBA over the last 10 days. Good luck putting it all together against this potent lineup, rook!
There’s reason to expect runs from both teams here in Game 3, so I’ll be taking the Over as my best bet on Sunday. My best bet: Over 9 (-115 at PointsBet) Astros vs Rangers same-game parlay Over 9.5 (+105) Andrew Heaney 5+ hits allowed (-150) Alex Bregman 2+ total bases (+135) We’ll start out the SGP with the best bet from above and play the Over. SGPs require using a half run, so we’ll play 9.5 instead of 9 as the total.
For the second leg, we’ll take Heaney to allow at least five hits — something that he’s done in four of his last five outings. The Astros have a .285 batting average against left-handers since the start of June and have to like their chances here against a southpaw with a 4.74 xERA and 5.12 FIP.
Lastly, we’ll add Bregman to notch two total bases. He’s been hot at the plate, notching eight total bases in his last three games. He has hit this number in five of his last 10 and I like his chances of doing so again. This is a correlated play with our other two legs, as Bregman having another productive outing at the dish would fare well for both the total and Heaney getting tagged. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Astros vs Rangers moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Rangers are viewed as the favorite, sitting between -132 and -145 depending on the book. Be sure to shop around using our MLB odds tool to ensure...
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