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Lions vs Argonauts Week 4 Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Defenses Take Over in Toronto
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Week 4 in the CFL wraps up on Monday night with a showdown between the BC Lions and the Toronto Argonauts. This is a marquee matchup between two of the best teams in the league with the Lions boasting a 3-0 record while the defending Grey Cup champion Argos are 2-0. CFL betting lines opened with the Leos installed as slim one-point road favorites, but money has come in on them, and they now sit at -3. Here are my best free Lions vs. Argonauts CFL picks and predictions for July 3.
Lions vs Argonauts best odds Lions vs Argonauts...
Week 4 in the CFL wraps up on Monday night with a showdown between the BC Lions and the Toronto Argonauts. This is a marquee matchup between two of the best teams in the league with the Lions boasting a 3-0 record while the defending Grey Cup champion Argos are 2-0. CFL betting lines opened with the Leos installed as slim one-point road favorites, but money has come in on them, and they now sit at -3. Here are my best free Lions vs. Argonauts CFL picks and predictions for July 3.
Lions vs Argonauts best odds Lions vs Argonauts picks and predictions
The BC Lions have a perfect 3-0 record with none of those victories more impressive than last week's 30-6 victory against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. They went into IG Field as six-point underdogs against the favorites in the Grey Cup odds and held Winnipeg to just 235 net yards while picking up seven sacks.
On the other side of the ball, the Leos didn't turn the ball over once and quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. had another efficient outing. Adams has now completed 73% of his passes for 861 yards with five touchdowns, while running back Taquan Mizzell is second in the league with 224 rushing yards.
That balanced offense is a reason they've been so successful this season, but the primary factor has been their dominant defense. They limited the Stampeders to 245 yards and 15 points in Week 1, shut out the Elks in Week 2, and manhandled a high-octane Bombers attack that had averaged 43 ppg against its first two opponents.
The Leos proved that Winnipeg's elite offensive line was no match for them with Mathieu Betts getting three sacks against seven-time All-Star left tackle Stanley Bryant. That's important to note in this one because the Toronto Argonauts' offensive line has looked solid this season, but has benefitted from playing against some weak defensive units.
Toronto's defensive line has been almost as impressive as BC's. Defense was the calling card for Toronto last year when they won the Grey Cup and that stop unit got even better in the offseason after adding edge rusher Folarin Orimolade and linebacker Jordan Williams.
Defensive tackles Shawn Oakman and Dewayne Hendricks are a fantastic duo inside and get a ton of pressure up the middle. They should make life tough for Adams since the Lions interior trio of Andrew Pierson, Michael Couture, and Sukh Chung all had pass-blocking grades below 45.0 last week, according to PFF.
Toronto held the Tiger-Cats to 14 points in their season opener in Week 2, and while they gave up 31 points to the Elks last week, two of those Edmonton touchdowns were scored in garbage time during the final three minutes of the game.
It's also worth mentioning that while both squads have looked very good this season, one area where they have not impressed has been on special teams. The Leos are sixth in the league in both punt return and kick return average, while the Argos are seventh in punt return average and dead-last in kick return average.
Expect a tight defensive battle between a pair of Grey Cup contenders on Monday and bet the Under 47.5. My best bet: Under 47.5 (-110 at bet365) Lions vs Argonauts same-game parlay Under 47.5 Kelly Under 247.5 passing yards Ouellette Over 56.5 rushing yards Coming into this season, the big question about the Argos was how first-year starting QB Chad Kelly was going to perform. Kelly has looked good so far but his passing n...
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