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Brewers vs Mets Predictions, Picks, Odds: Max Won't Be Overtaxed
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The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets will wrap up their four-game series tonight at Citi Field. The Brewers have taken two of three games as decent plus-money dogs but have gotten even longer in the MLB odds today facing Max Scherzer.
With Scherzer's out total at 18.5 while coming off a season-high in pitches, is the Under the right side considering all the things that need to go right for the veteran to see the seventh inning?
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks and predictions for Brewers vs. Mets on Thursday, June 29.
Brewers...
The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets will wrap up their four-game series tonight at Citi Field. The Brewers have taken two of three games as decent plus-money dogs but have gotten even longer in the MLB odds today facing Max Scherzer.
With Scherzer's out total at 18.5 while coming off a season-high in pitches, is the Under the right side considering all the things that need to go right for the veteran to see the seventh inning?
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks and predictions for Brewers vs. Mets on Thursday, June 29.
Brewers vs Mets odds Brewers vs Mets predictions Max Scherzer is coming off a season-high 107 pitches in his last outing, and with an out total of 18.5, the Under at -130 is showing good value.
Max has pitched decently of late — much better than at the beginning of the season — but coming out for the seventh might not be in the cards tonight vs. a Milwaukee Brewers offense that is poor at run production but does see plenty of pitches per at-bat. Only the Cubs see more, with Milwaukee sitting at 4.05 pitches per PA.
The difference between the 17th and 18th out are not weighed the same. A lot needs to go right to come out for the seventh, and a long bottom of the sixth could be possible, which would also favor the Under. Adrian Houser is making his first start since June 9, and if the Brewers were to go to the pen in the sixth inning, it could drag out the inning and possibly force Buck Showalter to keep Mad Max on the bench. New York also has most of its bullpen arms available today, which hasn’t been the case in this series as the Mets have played a game in 12 straight days.
The conditions at Citi Field favor the hitters, as well, with low 80-degree temperatures and light winds blowing straight out. Scherzer has hit this Over in just three of his 13 starts, and the high workload in his last outing might help keep the New York starter in the dugout for the seventh inning. My best bet: Scherzer Under 18.5 outs (-125) Brewers vs Mets same-game parlay Scherzer Under 18.5 outs Brewers +1.5 Under 8.5 Scherzer could easily keep the score down and run a high pitch count as the Brewers walk and strikeout at high rates and see a ton of pitches. It's also an offense that doesn't stack runs.
The Milwaukee moneyline is pretty long here and Houser might be getting a little disrespected. His groundball ways work well vs. the Mets, who rely on the home-run ball. No need to get greedy with the moneyline though, as the +1.5 parlay pays +450, compared to the +650 SGP with the Milwaukee moneyline at +167. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Brewers vs Mets moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Mets opened as -185 favorites and have moved as short as -200 in some places. It’s a significant move as they were -170 in the opener (Rea vs. Verlander), and today’s pitching matchup is similar to that game that the Brewers won 2-1.
Outside of a pitching matchup that favors the home side, there isn’t much else that has me liking the Mets. Neither offense is good, ranking in the Bottom 10 in average and OPS while managing just 19 combined runs through three games in the series (0-2-1 O/U). Both teams have been profitable to the Under on the season, and are a combine...
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