Home Run Prop Picks, Best Baseball Predictions and Odds 8/22/23 – Best MLB Prop Bets for Today

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Wagertalk provides daily home run prop picks and predictions for Tuesday, August 22 written by the experts at the Prop Hub with odds provided by FanDuel. We cashed on Manny Machado to hit a home run last night at +380 as we try to go for another home run prop winner for today’s MLB slate.

Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Ryan Mountcastle (+460)
Ryan Mountcastle rides an eight game hitting streak into the Orioles series opener against the Blue Jays who send Yusei Kikuchi to the mound. Mountcastle has had tons of success against the Blue Jays lefty in his career going 7-12 with four home runs.

The Orioles first baseman has smashed lefties on the season in general batting .356 to go along with 11 of his 17 total home runs.

He’s in the midst of his best hitting month of the season batting .403 in August heading into tonight’s game.

Kikuchi actually hasn’t given up a home run in six straight starts but has given up 22 on the season so look for some regression to the means at Camden Yards tonight.

Mountcastle is coming off of a game Sunday going 3-5 with a home run at Oakland so let’s ride with him tonight to hit another against Kikuchi and the Blue Jays at +460 with other Orioles to consider are Anthony Santander (+360) and Adley Rutschman (+600).

Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Fernando Tatis Jr. (+310)
We’re looking for Fernando Tatis Jr. to snap out of a mini-slump tonight against Jesus Luzardo and the Marlins by belting a home run. He’s only hit .216 this month with two home runs but is 2-5 with two doubles against Luzardo in his career.

The Marlins lefty has given up eight home runs in his last three starts with Tatis Jr. batting .283 against lefties on the season with a .535 slugging percentage compared to just a .256 average against righties with a .444 slugging percentage.

Tatis Jr. has also clobbered a home run once every 16.5 at-bats against lefties on the season and has hit one against a righty once every 24 at-bats.

Take Tatis Jr. to hit a home run tonight at +310 with other Padres to consider are Manny Machado (+400) and Xander Boegarts (+560).

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