Twins vs Braves Predictions, Picks, Odds: Minnesota Capitalizes on Strider's Struggles
Twins vs Braves Predictions, Picks, Odds: Minnesota Capitalizes on Strider's Struggles Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting News
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Division leaders duke it out in an interleague affair when the Minnesota Twins visit the Atlanta Braves for a three-game set, starting Monday night.
Minnesota has watched its grip on the American League Central loosen this month, with a poor start to June. But after going 7-11 to kick off this chunk of the calendar, the Twins have since won four of their last five games.
Atlanta has its bettors jumping for joy in June, bringing a 17-4 record this month into Monday’s series opener. Given that momentum and the fact that budding ace Spencer Strider toes the rubber looking...
Division leaders duke it out in an interleague affair when the Minnesota Twins visit the Atlanta Braves for a three-game set, starting Monday night.
Minnesota has watched its grip on the American League Central loosen this month, with a poor start to June. But after going 7-11 to kick off this chunk of the calendar, the Twins have since won four of their last five games.
Atlanta has its bettors jumping for joy in June, bringing a 17-4 record this month into Monday’s series opener. Given that momentum and the fact that budding ace Spencer Strider toes the rubber looking for his sixth straight win and his ninth of the season, the Braves are heavy favorites . I dig into the moneyline and Over/Under total for this AL-versus-NL tilt and give my best MLB picks and predictions for Twins at Braves on June 26.
Twins vs Braves odds Twins vs Braves predictions
The Twins are a “swing big in case you hit it” kind of team, leading the majors in strikeouts while sitting seventh in home runs.
That approach at the plate has led to some less-than-stellar results this past month, but Minnesota’s offense showed signs of life in recent outings. The Twins have plated 23 total runs in the past five games, with nine homers in that span.
Braves starter Spencer Strider has the stuff to make Minnesota look silly at the plate (Over/Under 9.5 Ks tonight), but he’s been susceptible to the big fly this month. The right-hander has watched his K counts dwindle while giving up 10 total home runs across his last seven starts.
Strider has allowed 16 earned runs over his last 21 innings of work with opposing lineups hitting .306 BA in that span. Sure, he looked strong against the Phillies last time out, holding Philadelphia to one run on eight hits, but the Phils’ bats have all the pop of a two-day-old can of Fresca.
Striders’ ace prowess from earlier in the spring is being overvalued, especially when you measure up Minnesota’s team total. The Twins have a team Over/Under of 3.5 runs with the Over paying +105.
Minnesota hasn’t been a great Over bet against its team totals this season, going 32-47 O/U, but its current form has the club topping that TT in three of the last five games. Coupling that with Striders’ slide provides some solid expected value on the Over 3.5 runs. My best bet: Twins team total Over 3.5 (+105 at bet365) Twins vs Braves same-game parlay Twins team total Over 3.5 (+105) Carlos Correa Over 0.5 hits (-150) Sonny Gray Under 15.5 outs recorded (-155) Strider will challenge Minnesota’s bats and amongst those strikeouts, the hard-hitting Twins will catch up to a couple of those fastballs. That will be enough to plate at least four runs for the visitor.
Shortstop Carlos Correa has the most positive projection to record a hit for the Twins tonight and has picked up at least one hit in six of his last eight games.
Meanwhile, Minnesota starter Sonny Gray’s projections call for fewer than 14 recorded outs in Atlanta tonight. He’s pitching better than his 4-1 record but has also only gone past five innings three times in his last nine starts. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Twins vs Braves moneyline and Over/Under analysis
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