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Rangers vs Yankees Predictions, Picks, Odds: Bats Come Alive in the Bronx
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The New York Yankees are heading in the wrong direction with six losses in their last eight games, giving back the momentum they gained in the Mariners series with a loss to Texas on Friday. Can the Rangers stay hot and grab their sixth win in seven games?
Let’s break down Rangers vs. Yankees in our best free MLB picks and predictions for Saturday, June 24.
Rangers vs Yankees odds Rangers vs Yankees predictions
It’s rarely a good idea to bet on a fly ball pitcher in Yankee Stadium, and we’ve got two going on Saturday afternoon in the Bronx....
The New York Yankees are heading in the wrong direction with six losses in their last eight games, giving back the momentum they gained in the Mariners series with a loss to Texas on Friday. Can the Rangers stay hot and grab their sixth win in seven games?
Let’s break down Rangers vs. Yankees in our best free MLB picks and predictions for Saturday, June 24.
Rangers vs Yankees odds Rangers vs Yankees predictions
It’s rarely a good idea to bet on a fly ball pitcher in Yankee Stadium, and we’ve got two going on Saturday afternoon in the Bronx. Both Jon Gray and Luis Severino own fly ball rates over 28% and while Gray’s has improved slightly over his last two starts, he’s still posted some unsightly numbers.
The Texas Rangers rank 11th in fly ball rate for the season but second over the past two weeks. It should be getting plenty in the air off of Severino, and with the New York Yankees righty dealing with a high 44.8% hard-hit rate and 12.5% barrel rate in the early part of his season, I think a lot should threaten to leave the yard.
On the other side of the coin, we know the Yankees rank third in home run-to-fly ball ratio and sit in the Top 5 for the last two weeks. Gray hasn’t had the struggles with hard-hit balls that Severino has had, but the Yankees are one of the leaders in that department this season. Their walk rate is also stabilizing; New York was down under 5% for the last two weeks entering the weekend but finds itself above 7% for the last 14 days entering Sunday.
The Yankees’ approach is improving and their matchup is solid. The Rangers should have no issues smacking the ball around against Severino, either. This should combine for a lot of home runs in a high-scoring game, and it doesn’t hurt matters that both pitchers have walk rates of 7.7% or higher. My best bet: Over 9 (+100 at DraftKings) Rangers vs Yankees same-game parlay Over 9 (+100) Yankees moneyline (+120) Anthony Rizzo to record a hit (-185) Jon Gray Under 5.5 strikeouts (-134) This is a little bit of a long shot, but hear me out. First of all, we already covered how this is a poor matchup for both pitchers, but I’m particularly sour on Gray. He allowed six earned runs over 2 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays last time out and struck out just two due to his short outing. I could see another short outing unfolding here with Gray sporting a .400 xSLG entering the day. His xERA is an ugly 4.16 as a result, and the worst part is that he hasn’t even been able to blame most of the troubles on home runs.
Severino has a higher likelihood of having a good game. The sample is still very small and he did have a couple of good outings when he first came off the injured list. If there is one pitcher who is going to succeed, it’s Severino.
Yankees first baseman Anthony Rizzo owns a strong .327 batting average at home this year and he’s hitting .368 over the last two weeks . He doesn’t have great career numbers against Gray, but the sample size is very small, so you can't put too much stock in it. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Rangers vs Yankees moneyline and Over/Under analysis
Let’s dive a bit deeper into Severino here, since I mentioned above that I thought he would probably have the better start. H...
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