Astros vs Dodgers Predictions, Picks, Odds: Dodgers Beat Up on France

Astros vs Dodgers Predictions, Picks, Odds: Dodgers Beat Up on France Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting NewsShow more

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The Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers will renew their engaging rivalry tonight as both division-trailing clubs will send rookie pitchers to the mound and the MLB Odds have the Dodgers sitting as -140 home favorites with a total of 8.5 leaning to the Over. 
With JP France pitching above his numbers and projecting for over three runs allowed and under 15 outs, should bettors be fading the older rookie in a tough matchup with solid hitting conditions at Dodger Stadium?
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks and predictions for Astros vs. Dodgers on Friday,...

The Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers will renew their engaging rivalry tonight as both division-trailing clubs will send rookie pitchers to the mound and the MLB Odds have the Dodgers sitting as -140 home favorites with a total of 8.5 leaning to the Over. 
With JP France pitching above his numbers and projecting for over three runs allowed and under 15 outs, should bettors be fading the older rookie in a tough matchup with solid hitting conditions at Dodger Stadium?
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks and predictions for Astros vs. Dodgers on Friday, June 23.
Astros vs Dodgers odds Astros vs Dodgers predictions
Not only does JP France’s Under 17.5 outs project well, THE BAT doesn’t even have him getting through the fifth inning. The projection for the Houston rookie is 13.76 outs, making it not only the best +EV play in the game but one of the best bets on the entire Friday slate.
France has been pitching above his numbers and that ERA should catch up to a 4.98 FIP which is backed by a lack of strikeouts, plenty of walks, and home runs. THE BAT has him projected as a near-5.00 ERA pitcher for the season and considering the matchup and more solid hitting conditions at Dodger Stadium (11-mph winds blowing out to right field).
France’s max innings in any season is 110 from last year and he has already accumulated 67 frames this season. He’s more of an 80-90-pitch starter and with Houston off yesterday, might have a shorter leash with a rested bullpen behind him. 
His .246 BABIP isn’t likely to hold and a 10% strike-swinging rate isn’t blowing batters away. His fastball average is also down 2 mph from over his last four starts. 
This 17.5 total is an out too high on a modest projection and if there was an ability to ladder Under outs, this would be one of the best spots. THE BAT has this Under winning 81.6% of the time and the -125 juice is a cherry on top. I’d play this to -175 which at that point might move to 16.5 and the Under at that number at plus money would also be an easy choice.  My best bet: JP France Under 17.5 outs Astros vs Dodgers same-game parlay France Under 17.5 outs Smith Over 1.5 total bases Peralta Under 0.5 hits France is headed for a regression of his numbers and the Los Angeles Dodgers are a good opponent to do so. France's 3.5 earned run market is very telling of the outing that is projected for the rookie starter.
Will Smith has some of the best value for offensive props on the LA side and I'll take his Over 1.5 total bases (projects for 1.9) as opposed to his RBI which is just +160. 
I'm adding David Peralta to go hitless which bumps this SGP to +1,200. It works against the France Under 17.5 outs, but the LA outfielder is a big pinch-hit risk (32%) and could also draw a walk with France's control issues. If France gets pulled early, Peralta could also see the bench if he sees a lefty.  Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Astros vs Dodgers moneyline and Over/Under analysis
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