Odds For Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s First Home run at Rogers Centre: Vladdy is Due Against A's

Odds For Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s First Home run at Rogers Centre: Vladdy is Due Against A's Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting News

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The Toronto Blue Jays entered the 2023 MLB season with high expectations and one of the deepest rosters they’ve had in quite some time. Their preseason World Series odds only fueled thoughts of making a deep postseason run, but “The Sequel” has been nothing more than a bad comedy.
One player, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., was expected to lead the team offensively and while he’s done so in many regards, he’s not doing what most expected him to do – hit dingers.
The first baseman has just nine home runs heading into the Blue Jays’ upcoming series against the lowly Oakland...

The Toronto Blue Jays entered the 2023 MLB season with high expectations and one of the deepest rosters they’ve had in quite some time. Their preseason World Series odds only fueled thoughts of making a deep postseason run, but “The Sequel” has been nothing more than a bad comedy.
One player, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., was expected to lead the team offensively and while he’s done so in many regards, he’s not doing what most expected him to do – hit dingers.
The first baseman has just nine home runs heading into the Blue Jays’ upcoming series against the lowly Oakland Athletics at Rogers Centre and while you’d think this is a great opportunity for Vladdy to add to his home run numbers, it’s not quite that simple.
All nine of his home runs have come on the road, which begs the question: When will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit his first home run in front of the Toronto faithful? We take a closer look at the MLB odds for this betting market and break down when we expect Vlad to break the goose egg.
Odds For Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s first home run at Rogers Centre Date
Odds June 23 vs. Oakland
+350 June 24 vs. Oakland
+425 June 25 vs. Oakland
+550 After June 26 or no Rogers Centre HR in 2023
+100 Odds courtesy of bet365 as of June 22, 2023. Power outage for power hitter
Before we get into breaking down the respective pitching matchups Vladdy is set to face over the next nine home games spanning from June 23 to July 2, we must first dive into Guerrero’s numbers this season and over his career at home. This year, Guerrero has had 132 plate appearances at Rogers Centre and only seven of his 28 hits have been for extra bases. He’s swinging just above the Mendoza line with a .239 batting average and owns a paltry .299 slugging percentage. If we break it down, his splits tell us he’s not doing anything different at home than on the road. He does have a higher strikeout (18.2% 14%) and walk rate (10.2% 7.8%) at home but it’s not a major red flag.
If you compare those to this year’s road splits of 50 hits, eight for extra bases, a .307 BA, and a .522 SLG%, you’d think he’s not getting enough home cooking.
Part of the reason those numbers are skewed is due to an unbalanced schedule that has the Jays playing 13 more road games to date. Another factor could be that Rogers Centre was just renovated in the offseason and with new dimensions come new sightlines which could pose an issue.
If we look at Vladdy’s home numbers from last season, he managed 86 hits with 18 for extra bases and 19 long balls. He swung the bat at a .273 BA and had a .511 SLG%. Best MLB bonuses
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Since we are comparing Guerrero’s stats, it’s only fair to the Dominican slugger that we compare the new and improved Rogers Centre to that of last year.
This season, through 32 home games, Rogers Centre sits in the bottom third of the league in terms of primary park factors which considers all batting metrics like singles, doubles, triples, home runs, walks, et...