Braves vs Phillies Predictions, Picks, Odds: Acuna Adds to Impressive Year
Braves vs Phillies Predictions, Picks, Odds: Acuna Adds to Impressive Year Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting News
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The Atlanta Braves are riding a seven-game winning streak, and will look to take the second game of a three-game set vs. the reigning NL champs in the Philadelphia Phillies, who took the 4-2 loss last night in the opener.
With some wind and possible wet conditions, will the Braves need to rely on some other ways to score tonight vs. a starting pitcher in Aaron Nola who is susceptible to the stolen base?
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks and predictions for Braves vs. Phillies on Wednesday, June 21.
Braves vs Phillies odds Braves...
The Atlanta Braves are riding a seven-game winning streak, and will look to take the second game of a three-game set vs. the reigning NL champs in the Philadelphia Phillies, who took the 4-2 loss last night in the opener.
With some wind and possible wet conditions, will the Braves need to rely on some other ways to score tonight vs. a starting pitcher in Aaron Nola who is susceptible to the stolen base?
Find out where my best bets lie in our MLB picks and predictions for Braves vs. Phillies on Wednesday, June 21.
Braves vs Phillies odds Braves vs Phillies predictions
With Aaron Nola seemingly not the same pitcher he was last year as he's allowing more walks, getting fewer strikeouts, and struggling to keep the ball in the park, it’s a good day to target some Atlanta offensive props especially with the Braves sitting as +110 underdogs.
Nola is one of the best pitchers to target for a stolen base today. His 0.07 SB/IP is the highest on the slate next to AJ Smith-Shawver, who has allowed two swipes over his first 13-plus innings in the majors.
Nola has had 13 stolen-base attempts vs. him this season, with nine successful. That puts him in the Top 11 of most swipes allowed this year.
The Braves are a slightly better-than-average running team and have 52 swipes on the season, with Ronald Acuna Jr. accounting for a whopping 31 of those, or a 60% stolen-base share. Only Esteury Ruiz has more steals than the NL MVP frontrunner.
Acuna is one of eight batters in baseball currently getting on base at a .400 clip, which is why he can attempt 37 steals over 73 games. The Atlanta leadoff man has also seen Nola a ton (40 at-bats) and has a .350 average, with four successful stolen bases vs. the Phillies starter.
The best price for Acuna to steal another bag is +310 at BetRivers or Kambi books, which are great odds considering some books are as low as +210. I’d take the Over on +240 or better, especially when THE BAT is projecting 4.55 plate appearances and 0.33 stolen bases, with the +310 price implying 0.25 SBs. My best bet: Acuna Over 0.5 stolen bases (+310) Braves vs Phillies same-game parlay Acuna Over 0.5 stolen bases Turner Over 0.5 stolen bases Nothing crazy here, just taking a pair of stolen bases in a matchup that is projecting a decent amount of swipes. Both players are projected to steal over 0.33 bases today and are +EV at those current solo prices.
Acuna has 60% of his team's stolen bases and has a great matchup vs. Nola, whom he has already stolen four bases against. Trea Turner is getting on base at a .345 clip over the last 14 days. which is up from his .298 OBP on the season. He's 4-for-4 in swipes over his last nine games.
Smith-Shawver has seen three stolen-base attempts over his first two MLB starts, with two of those being successful. Sean Murphy is also questionable and has thrown out 12 baserunners this year. I'm getting better than true odds with this SGP. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Braves vs Phillies moneyline and Over/Under analysis
Atlanta closed as a -148 road favorite in the MLB odds last night in a starting pitching matchup that favored the Braves with Spencer Strider vs. Ranger Suarez. Now Aaron Nola will be priced as a slight home f...
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