The Boom is Over. The Bust has Begun

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10 months ago
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What is leverage? Archimedes once said, Give me a lever long enough and a place to stand, and I can move the world. Now, there are obviously many forms of leverage, but economically speaking, the state we are concerned about is debt. Now, debt is described as leverage for a few reasons. Number one, it increases the strength of your purchasing power.

If you have a dollar, instead of just $1, maybe you can spend 50 or $2 or more. The second reason is described as leverage because it works both ways. In other words, debt increases risk. So what does leverage have to do with the boom-bust cycle? As we will see, leverage is the engine that drives the boom-bust process.

On the way up, we are increasing the amount of leverage in the system, but everything that goes up must come down. And so every levering up is always followed by a deleveraging. And the way down the bust is a deleveraging. So where are we now? What will this deleveraging, this bust look like?

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TIMECODES
0:00 Video Overview
1:09 How Did We Get Here
11:35 How this Plays Out
15:30 How Deleveraging Should Unfold

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