What factors are contributing to investors' increased interest in the riskiest US corporate debt?
Investors' growing confidence in the US economy's ability to avoid a recession is driving their increased interest in the riskiest US corporate debt. The shrinking gap between the yields on double-B and triple-C bonds, which is a closely watched barometer of US investors' risk appetite, reflects this optimism.
Positive economic data, such as evidence of easing inflation and better-than-expected second-quarter growth figures, has bolstered hopes of a "soft landing." Additionally, the belief that the Federal Reserve may have completed its interest rate hikes and the absence of more bank failures have further contributed to the narrowing yield spread. However, despite the increased interest, yields and spreads on junk bonds remain higher than their lows in 2021, and investors remain cautious about adding significant exposure to lower-rated issuers.
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