A Filament Slingshots Towards Earth | Solar Storm Forecast 02.22.2021

This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
This week our Sun has livened things up a bit with some fast solar wind that has kept us at active conditions for several days and brought aurora to many places around the world. But just as this solar storm begins to wane, the Sun launches another solar storm, this time from filament that has been slingshot towards Earth. The NASA prediction model runs indicate this new solar storm will hit Earth as early as February 23rd. NOAA prediction model run is not quite as optimistic and shows the solar storm going mainly east of Earth, and only grazing our planet around the 24th. Either way, because Earth's magnetic shield has already been rattled, it wont take much to bring us back up to active conditions and very possibly storm levels. So, aurora photographers should keep their batteries charged because we could be in for some more aurora views, even down to mid-latitudes. As for amateur radio and emergency operators, the solar flux is remaining in the mid-70s, thanks to bright region 2803 and this means radio propagation will stay in the marginal range on Earth's day side. However, because of the solar storm, radio propagation might be a bit enhanced on the dayside, even as propagation tanks on the nightside over this week. GPS users should also be careful as GPS reception will be impacted near dawn and dusk and anywhere near aurora during the solar storming. Learn the details of the coming solar storm, catch up on aurora photos during the recent storming, and see what else our Sun has in store this week.
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For a more in-depth look at the data and images in this video see links in my other forecasts. This week Im saving room for links to the aurora field reporter photos highlighted this week.
Aurora Field Reporter Credits:

Adrien Mauduit, Senja, Norway:
https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=2202084106588724&set=pcb.2202085229921945
Chris Cogan, Muie, Scotland:
https://twitter.com/cogie_s/status/1363513858766364675
Andy Cole, Scotland:
https://twitter.com/mracole1977/status/1363570723659350017/
John-GM7PBB, Isle of Lewis, Scotland:
https://twitter.com/GM7PBB/status/1361841982667169795
Kareen, Sheltand, UK:
https://twitter.com/Kareen_B_H/status/1363647685274836995
Carolyn Hailstones, LiveAurora Network, Reykjavik, Iceland:
https://twitter.com/CarolynHailston/status/1362910794279714817
Live Aurora Network, Iceland:
https://twitter.com/LiveAuroraNetw1/status/1363231601908400134
Rob Paularinne, Thunder Bay, Ontario, Canada:
https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=10164907987410438&set=pcb.5756563264369328
Kim Hines, North of Winnipeg, Manitboa, Canada:
https://twitter.com/KimHinesSN/status/1363029716819578882
Deb Maluk, Sandy Lake, Manitoba, Canada:
https://twitter.com/dmaluk1/status/1363036448161628166
Justin Anderson, Clear Lake, Manitoba, Canada:
https://twitter.com/AuroraJAnderson/status/1363216447850209280
Steph Cassin, Torquay, Saskatchewan, Canada:
https://twitter.com/stephedgar87/status/1363371881882034176
Gunjan Sinha, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada:
https://twitter.com/gunjansinha2017/status/1361709078813184002
Sheri Skocdopole, Central Alberta, Canada:
https://twitter.com/hissweetpea66/status/1363580145487867904
Images By Stan, Andrew, Alberta, Canada:
https://twitter.com/ImagesByStan/status/1363057311992795136
Tree Tanner, Alix, Alberta, Canada:
https://twitter.com/treetanner/status/1363186060818219012
Tracy Petreman, Alberta, Canada:
https://twitter.com/tracypetr/status/1363042767824248832
Alaska Outdoors Photography with Jeff-n-Jenn, Alaska, Fairbanks, USA:
https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=178047060783256&set=pcb.178047200783242
David Braithwaite, Ontonagon, Michigan, USA:
https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=3712382368814813&set=gm.5754740927884895
Bob Conzemius, craigville and Big Falls, Minnesota, USA:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=10221918100894737&set=gm.5761478743877780
Vincent Ledvina, Grand Forks, North Dakota, USA:
https://twitter.com/Vincent_Ledvina/status/1363040449951334400
Kieren Black, Hobart, Tasmania:
https://www.facebook.com/kieren.black.90/videos/3056698637899458
Paul LeComte, Dunedin, New Zealand:
https://twitter.com/five15design/status/1361853409398124546
Maritime Union AU, Vessel in Antartica:
https://twitter.com/MaritimeUnionAU/status/1363236879135477760
Ian Griffin, New Zealand:
https://twitter.com/iangriffin/status/1363137872669278211