Employment Heading Into A Fever
When the leading indicators (like economic measures) show consistently low negative readings (around -60s and -70s), it's a warning sign that a recession might be coming. The final piece of the puzzle is employment, which tends to drop last before a recession hits. So, keeping a close eye on job numbers is crucial. If employment starts to wobble while the leading indicators are already in trouble, it's like the economy catching a fever on its way to a recession.
Watch more of this short video from Markets To Hit New Lows When Inevitable Recession Hits? | Eric Basmajian.
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There’s no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead?
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