What are the implications for the Federal Reserve as US stocks hit a 15 month high?

The larger-than-expected decline in US inflation has led to a surge in US stocks and has significant implications for the Federal Reserve. The benchmark S&P 500 stock index reached its highest level since April 2022, and the tech and utilities sectors were major contributors to this rally. The positive market reaction is driven by easing pressure on the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates. The lower inflation figures indicate a deceleration in the momentum of inflation, which is seen as positive for both the Fed and the market.

While the market still expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates by 0.25 percentage points at the upcoming meeting, there is growing speculation that the Fed may pause after the July meeting, with rates expected to range between 5.25 percent and 5.5 percent. The strong economic growth and the falling inflation rate suggest that the Fed may have achieved a delicate balance. Investors are divided on whether the US can avoid a recession, with different paths ahead. However, the current data and market performance indicate positive market implications, providing the Fed with more flexibility in its monetary policy decisions.

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