Guardians vs Diamondbacks Predictions, Picks, Odds: Cleveland Puts a Hurting on Henry

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We've got a busy day of baseball with all 30 teams in action, and the final game on the MLB odds board is a showdown between the Cleveland Guardians and the Arizona Diamondbacks. This is the second contest in a three-game set at Chase Field, with Arizona prevailing 5-1 last night.
The Guardians are sending former Cy Young winner Shane Bieber to the mound, but the D-Backs are surprisingly atop the NL West and won't be an easy squad to knock off at home. Here are my best free Guardians vs. Diamondbacks MLB picks and predictions for June 17. 
Guardians...

We've got a busy day of baseball with all 30 teams in action, and the final game on the MLB odds board is a showdown between the Cleveland Guardians and the Arizona Diamondbacks. This is the second contest in a three-game set at Chase Field, with Arizona prevailing 5-1 last night.
The Guardians are sending former Cy Young winner Shane Bieber to the mound, but the D-Backs are surprisingly atop the NL West and won't be an easy squad to knock off at home. Here are my best free Guardians vs. Diamondbacks MLB picks and predictions for June 17. 
Guardians vs Diamondbacks odds Guardians vs Diamondbacks predictions
The Arizona Diamondbacks are sending lefty Tommy Henry to the hill for this showdown. The second-year pitcher has struggled this month, allowing five runs in back-to-back starts against the Phillies and Nationals. 
Henry has some pretty solid analytics this season, but his expected ERA still sits at 4.64. The biggest problem with Henry is that he relies primarily on his four-seamer (throwing it 51% of the time), but ranks in the Bottom 20th percentile in both fastball velocity and spin. It should come as no surprise that opponents are making him pay for that by slugging .662 against that pitch.
While the Cleveland Guardians are just 28th in the majors in OPS (.672), they have been hitting much better lately with an OPS of .778 over the last 15 days. With Henry throwing tasty fastball offerings over the middle of the plate, Cleveland should be able to get to him for at least three earned runs.  My best bet: Tommy Henry Over 2.5 earned runs (-115) Guardians vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay Tommy Henry Over 2.5 earned runs Amed Rosario Under 1.5 hits Shane Biever Under 2.5 earned runs Although I'm fading Henry, I don't think every Cleveland hitter is going to mash against him, and the Under 1.5 hits prop for Amed Rosario is simply too good to pass up. Rosario is batting well against southpaws this year, but he has just four multi-hit games in his last 31 contests. This is a guy who is hitting .237 this season and has a batting average of just .177 against four-seamers.
Guardians starter Shane Bieber isn't quite the elite pitcher he was a few years ago, but he's still a reliable arm that has an impressive 3.29 ERA in 14 starts. The O/U on his earned runs allowed today is at 2.5, a number he has gone below in seven of his last nine starts.
While the Diamondbacks have been one of the most productive teams at the dish this year, they are just 25th in barrel rate while ranking 20th in hard-hit rate, which indicates that regression might be on the horizon. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Guardians vs Diamondbacks moneyline and Over/Under analysis The Guardians opened as -135 road favorites for this showdown but money has poured in on the home side, shortening the line to -115.  The Diamondbacks have been one of the biggest surprises in baseball this year, and won 5-1 last night to improve to 42-28. They went from the worst team in the majors in 2021 to a 74-88 record last year, and now boast a three-game lead atop the NL West despite only minor offseason changes.
The Guardians are five games below .500, and while they've had solid pitching, their so...