Blue Jays vs Rangers Predictions, Picks, Odds: Can't Get to Gausman

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The Toronto Blue Jays must be happy they won’t have to see an American League East opponent for a while after their latest series loss to the Baltimore Orioles.
Unfortunately, their divisional escape leads them to a matchup against one of the best teams in the American League, the Texas Rangers.
The Rangers have been one of the biggest surprises in baseball, leading the AL West with a 42-26 record thanks to one of the best lineups in the Big Leagues.
Blue Jays ace Kevin Gausman will be tasked with shutting the Rangers down. Can he and Martin Perez keep...

The Toronto Blue Jays must be happy they won’t have to see an American League East opponent for a while after their latest series loss to the Baltimore Orioles.
Unfortunately, their divisional escape leads them to a matchup against one of the best teams in the American League, the Texas Rangers.
The Rangers have been one of the biggest surprises in baseball, leading the AL West with a 42-26 record thanks to one of the best lineups in the Big Leagues.
Blue Jays ace Kevin Gausman will be tasked with shutting the Rangers down. Can he and Martin Perez keep this game Under the total? I break down the MLB odds and bring you my best bet and a juicy same-game parlay in MLB picks and predictions for Blue Jays vs. Rangers on Friday June 16.
Blue Jays vs Rangers odds Blue Jays vs Rangers predictions
With the Blue Jays' latest loss to the Orioles yesterday, they're now an ugly 7-17 vs. American League East opponents. Now, they're 31-15 in their games outside the division, but the Rangers aren’t going to be your typical non-division opponent. 
The Rangers’ +143 run differential is the best in the MLB, even better than the consensus best team in baseball, the Tampa Bay Rays. The lineup is one of the league's most dangerous, as nobody has plated more runs this year than the Rangers.
But, if there’s a guy capable of shutting them down it’s Kevin Gausman. The Blue Jays ace is coming off a rough outing, against the Twins of all teams, but I’m not too worried about that. Besides a few outlier starts, Gausman looks like one of the most unhittable pitchers in the American League.
The combination of his mid-to-upper 90s fastball and his devastating splitter makes him an incredibly hard pitcher to square up. The right-hander is pitching to a 3.47 expected ERA while limiting opponents to a .235 expected batting average. He also ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to strikeout rate.
He also has outstanding starts against the likes of the Astros, Orioles, Yankees, and Phillies, so he's more than capable of navigating a tough Rangers lineup. 
Countering Gausman is Martin Perez. The veteran left-hander is still trying to find the magic from last year, which earned him his first All-Star selection. While the overall numbers aren’t great, Perez has been a much more effective pitcher at Globe Life Park.
Perez owns a sparkling 1.40 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .594 OPS when pitching at home this season. And while the Blue Jays have a dangerous lineup of their own, shockingly they haven’t produced as well vs. southpaws. But it’s more than that. They also never seem to be clicking all at once and struggle to get that clutch hit.
Toronto hits for a high average, just not with runners in scoring position, where they are hitting .236 which ranks 25th in the MLB. The team also ranks 23rd in OPS and 20th in wRC+ when facing off against left-handed pitchers this season.
Now, the total for this matchup opened at 8.5 and has been bumped up to 9 as of writing this. However, I believe this is an inflated number due to both Gausman and Perez coming off rough starts, and doesn’t properly reflect them as starting pitchers in this situation. I like this game to be low scoring early on and am targeting the Under on the five-inning total. My best bet: Under 5 first five innings (-110 at SIA) Blue Jays vs Rangers same-game parlay Under 9.5 Gausman 7+ strike...