Rays vs Padres Predictions, Picks, Odds: Dazzled By Yu

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The San Diego Padres and Tampa Bay Rays will get a weekend series going late tonight on the West Coast.
For my money, the Padres have been the most underwhelming team in baseball and are near the bottom of the NL West standings. They enter today 7.5 games out of first place following a loss to the Cleveland Guardians.
The Tampa Bay Rays, as they have for the entirety of the season, continue to have solid command of the AL East. They'll enter today five games up in the division off a series split against the Oakland Athletics. 
Read on...

The San Diego Padres and Tampa Bay Rays will get a weekend series going late tonight on the West Coast.
For my money, the Padres have been the most underwhelming team in baseball and are near the bottom of the NL West standings. They enter today 7.5 games out of first place following a loss to the Cleveland Guardians.
The Tampa Bay Rays, as they have for the entirety of the season, continue to have solid command of the AL East. They'll enter today five games up in the division off a series split against the Oakland Athletics. 
Read on for my best bet and full MLB picks and predictions for Rays vs. Padres on Friday, June 16.
Rays vs Padres odds Rays vs Padres predictions
Tonight is an outstanding pitching matchup between a young star and an old veteran. With that in mind, it only seems right to go in one direction with our best bet, and I'm assuming you guessed it; we're grabbing the Under in tonight's San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays contest.
Let's look at the situation before anything else and perhaps why my projections see nearly a complete run of value here. It's going to be a cool night with temperatures in the mid 60's and winds blowing in today at Petco Park, reducing the ball carry.  It's certainly not the be-all and end-all, but it's worth noting in our handicap.
The Yu Darvish bounce-back factor was one of the many places that led me to this angle. He's been sensationally good at bouncing back from rough starts and is coming off one here tonight. Just once this season has he given up multiple runs after giving up three in his previous start. The latest example is from a few weeks ago when he was shelled by the New York Yankees for seven earned runs. How did he respond? With seven shutout innings against the Chicago Cubs in his very next start. This has followed a very strong trend of what we've seen throughout the year, and I look for it to continue.
Darvish has a good matchup tonight, too. The Tampa Bay Rays don't have excessive strikeout metrics like some other teams, but they still profile well for him. Tampa is generally striking out at an above-average rate and sees that number rise. In addition, they are making a below-average chase contact rate. Even in his later years, Darvish still remains close to an elite strikeout pitcher. I'm expecting him to use his entire pitch arsenal to his advantage.
Conversely, on the other side, is it sufficient enough to say that Shane McClanahan is pitching for the Rays? It feels that way. Like Darvish, he also looks to bounce back from a rough start. I use the term "rough start" loosely because it was three earned runs surrendered in seven innings. However, that's the standard McClanahan has set for himself this season, and that's the second most runs he's given up. My best bet: Under 8 (-110 at BetMGM) Rays vs Padres same-game parlay Under 8.5  Darvish Over 6.5 strikeouts McClanahan Over 1.5 walks I'm not looking to do too much here for today's same-game parlay other than take what's there. It's anchored by my best bet of the Under 8.5. Bet365 doesn't allow you to bet flat totals in their same-game parlays, so I opted to go up a half rather than the other direction. 
The Darvish strikeout number is self-explanatory. It's mostly an average outing for Darvish going against a team with strikeouts at a slightly above-average rate. 
The hallmark of Darvish's career has been swings and misses, and he still needs to gain...