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USA vs Mexico Picks and Predictions: Pulisic Gets Room to Create in Balogun's Debut
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While the match between the United States and Mexico already has high stakes given it’s for a place in the 2023 CONCACAF Nations League final on Sunday, the debut of Folarin Balogun is what most USMNT fans are excited for. The new addition to the American attack has national team fans excited, and a goal against their bitter rivals could make him an instant hero.
But Mexico aren’t just here for fun, they’re looking for revenge. Their defeat in the 2021 CONCACAF Nations League final saw them lose in extra time, and new manager Diego Cocca knows a win over...
While the match between the United States and Mexico already has high stakes given it’s for a place in the 2023 CONCACAF Nations League final on Sunday, the debut of Folarin Balogun is what most USMNT fans are excited for. The new addition to the American attack has national team fans excited, and a goal against their bitter rivals could make him an instant hero.
But Mexico aren’t just here for fun, they’re looking for revenge. Their defeat in the 2021 CONCACAF Nations League final saw them lose in extra time, and new manager Diego Cocca knows a win over their northern rivals could go a long way towards appeasing the El Tri fans who are still upset about their recent struggles in international competition.
Can the Yanks push their unbeaten streak against Mexico to six matches, or will Mexico spoil the debut of what many expect to be America’s next top striker? I break down all the betting angles in my United States vs. Mexico picks and predictions.
USA vs Mexico best odds USA Mexico +125 Moneyline +225 +210 Draw +210 Over 2.5 (+125) Total Under 2.5 (-163) Odds courtesy of bet365 on June 15, 2023. USA vs Mexico picks and predictions
The hype around Folarin Balogun is as high as any American debutant I can remember in my lifetime. Sure, guys have been rising stars, and we’ve been hyped to have them come over, but I can’t remember a player who came into his first match with the anticipation and track record of Balogun.
The USMNT has been looking for a consistent striker ever since the retirements of Clint Dempsey and Landon Donovan, and Balogun’s nationality change from England may provide the Yanks with just that. He scored 21 goals in France’s Ligue 1 this season, assisting two others across 37 matches. At age 21, he comes in with plenty of expectations, and he’s in fine form with goals in three of his last four matches for Reims.
The player who will likely benefit the most from Balogun’s arrival is Christian Pulisic. The Chelsea winger has had some struggles this season, fighting for playing time and not doing much with it. But when he dons the USMNT kit, he becomes a reliable player with 23 goals in 58 matches.
He’s also come up huge against Mexico. Pulisic’s penalty in stoppage time in the 2021 Nations League final saw the U.S. lift the trophy, and he was a nuisance to the Mexicans all match long.
Pulisic has made three starts in his career against El Tri, and while he’s only managed one goal, he’s created numerous chances that have failed to be finished off. Balogun’s presence should change that. More importantly, the new striker is likely going to draw more attention from the Mexico defense than most American strikers have in the past.
With the U.S. being without Tyler Adams in the midfield, it’s expected that Gio Reyna will play in the middle of a 4-2-3-1, or as an advanced midfielder in a 4-3-3. With Balogun in front of him and Pulisic to his left, he’s going to have plenty of opportunities to create some magic and Pulisic could easily benefit. And don’t forget that if the USMNT draws a penalty, it will be Pulisic who takes it.
Mexico haven’t been keeping clean sheets against teams with any real threat, and they’ve held the Americans scoreless in just one of their previous five meetings. Pulisic has either scored or assisted in four of his last six starts for the USMNT, and I expect that trend to continue on Th...
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