Professor John Mearsheimer - Ukrainian counteroffensive will result in significant casualties
Professor John Mearsheimer warns Glenn Greenwald that the Ukrainian counteroffensive will result in significant casualties due to the Russian army's overwhelming artillery advantage, air superiority, and the undermanned and undertrained Ukrainian forces.
Professor Mearsheimer elaborates on why he thinks F-16s and ATACMS will not change the course of the war. He also mentions that the US and NATO lack the manufacturing capacity to address the current artillery disparity between Russia and Ukraine.
"The fact is, we do not have the manufacturing capability to produce enough artillery to redress the existing imbalance in artillery between the Russians and the Ukrainians. The Russians, in contrast, have a significant manufacturing capability when it comes to weaponry, and they're pumping out artillery rounds. At a remarkably rapid pace, we can't do that we don't have the manufacturing capability.
And it's going to take us a year or two, maybe even three to spin up that capability. And in the meantime, the Ukrainians are in deep trouble... Not only do the Russians have a major league advantage in artillery, in tanks for that matter, but they also have a major league advantage in population size, which means the number of potential soldiers.
Furthermore, they control the skies, they have a tremendous advantage in air power, and the F-16 is not going to rectify that. So I don't see how it's possible for Ukraine to win this war. I think they're doomed. I think that Ukrainians have foolishly picked a fight with a country that has much more military capability and will therefore win."
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