Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks, and Odds: Dream Can't Keep Up With Jones

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks, and Odds: Dream Can't Keep Up With Jones Pleas Subscribe For Daily Sports Betting NewsShow more

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Eleven WNBA teams just felt a cold shiver run down their spine. The New York Liberty are figuring it out.
After an up-and-down start to the season, New York’s new-look lineup has exploded for outputs of 102 and 106 points in back-to-back wins heading into Tuesday’s home stand against the Atlanta Dream.
The Dream fell victim to that collecting cohesiveness from the Liberty’s stars, getting blasted 106-83 by New York at home last Friday. New York was a six-point road favorite, in that meeting and is now laying 11 points at home tonight. However, N.Y. could be down standout guard...

Eleven WNBA teams just felt a cold shiver run down their spine. The New York Liberty are figuring it out.
After an up-and-down start to the season, New York’s new-look lineup has exploded for outputs of 102 and 106 points in back-to-back wins heading into Tuesday’s home stand against the Atlanta Dream.
The Dream fell victim to that collecting cohesiveness from the Liberty’s stars, getting blasted 106-83 by New York at home last Friday. New York was a six-point road favorite, in that meeting and is now laying 11 points at home tonight. However, N.Y. could be down standout guard Sabrina Ionescu, who is questionable with a sore hamstring.
Atlanta comes to Brooklyn at a bad time and is in the midst of a daunting stretch of schedule in which it’s played — and lost against — the top three teams in the league: Las Vegas, Connecticut and New York. This trip to the Barclays Center is also the team’s first road game since May 23.
I dissect the point spread and Over/Under total for this Big Apple battle and give my best WNBA picks and predictions for Dream at Liberty on June 13.
Dream vs Liberty best odds Dream vs Liberty picks and predictions
When measuring the impact of New York’s new “Big 3”, forward Jonquel Jones hasn’t had the splashiest debut for the Liberty.
The former league MVP had been battling a nagging injury in her left foot for the first month of the season, which limited her floor time and output. According to head coach Sandy Brondello, Jones is 100% recovered, and we’re seeing that with an uptick in minutes the past three games.
Jones has logged 21, 21, and a season-high 27 minutes over the past three contests after playing less than 20 minutes in each of the first five games of 2023. And while she’s still finding her fit among the stars in Brooklyn, her role as a rebounder is pretty cut-and-dried.
Jones has collected rebounding totals of six, eight, and eight the last three games — including six defensive and two offensive boards against the Atlanta Dream last Friday.
Jones’ rebounding prop for tonight is parked at 6.5 O/U, with the Over priced between -113 and EVEN money, as it doesn’t appear oddsmakers are accounting for her health and increased playing time.
Jones owns an average of just five rebounds per game so far this season, with her injury dipping into her minutes and work on the glass. However, the 6-foot-6 forward averages more than eight rebounds per game for her storied pro career, and faces a smaller ATL frontcourt that runs 6-foot-4 and shorter.
WNBA player projections have Jones pegged for 7.6 rebounds against Atlanta with a higher ceiling, considering the pace of this game.
The Liberty have been pushing the tempo the past two games and the Dream play the second quickest pace in the league, which means plenty of field goal attempts — and rebounding chances. They allow 73.1 FGAs per outing (second most) and shoot just under 70 shots for themselves (fourth most).
Atlanta enters Tuesday ranked No. 8 in rebound rate, and was outworked 37-34 on the glass by New York last week, including giving up nine offensive boards. New York is coming off a rebounding war with the Wings on the weekend with coach Brondello emphasizing the importance of cleaning the glass, with Jones grabbing eight boards in that victory against one of the best rebounding clubs in the league.
Given g...